Compendium › Trent Follower › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+2.06%
Last Month Return
$14,368.86
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$14,079.51
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:30

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.1/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 32.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.4

30-Day Momentum

14
+2.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.7 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,079.51
Current Value
$14,368.86
Period P&L
$289.36
Max Drawdown
-15.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+2.90%
Worst Trade
-1.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$114,183.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$289.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$289.36
Gross Return
+2.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $14,079.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $359.42 39 $14,017.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:35pm ET $365.60 39 $14,258.40 $14,320.52 +$241.02
(+1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $370.82 38 $14,091.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $381.57 38 $14,499.66 $14,729.02 +$408.50
(+2.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:10am ET $373.35 39 $14,560.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $366.59 39 $14,297.01 $14,465.38 $-263.64
(-1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $375.74 38 $14,278.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $373.20 38 $14,181.60 $14,368.86 $-96.52
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,368.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,368.86
Total Return: +43.69%
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