Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:25:08

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
25.3 oversold
20d Trend
-38.3%
5d Trend
-38.9%
EMA20 Dist
-40.8%
ATR%
15.6%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

36
+9.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.8 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,136
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$5,326.50
Current Value
$4,950.52
Period P&L
$-1,354.70
Max Drawdown
-51.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
62
Winners / Losers
21 / 41
Best Trade
+9.86%
Worst Trade
-7.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$627,826.13
Estimated Fees
$1,569.57
Gross P&L
$-1,354.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,924.27
Gross Return
-25.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-54.90%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 62 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $5,326.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 12:35pm ET $28.55 187 $5,326.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 3:40pm ET $28.60 187 $5,335.83 $5,309.17 $-17.33
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 12:00pm ET $31.36 169 $5,309.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 2:00pm ET $30.85 169 $5,222.83 $5,196.50 $-112.67
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:15pm ET $21.98 236 $5,196.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 1:25am ET $21.87 236 $5,170.50 $5,144.58 $-51.92
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2025 4:45am ET $23.03 223 $5,144.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 7:10am ET $22.61 223 $5,050.76 $5,025.27 $-119.31
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 12, 2025 10:50am ET $21.99 229 $5,025.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 12, 2025 2:50pm ET $22.55 229 $5,153.24 $5,127.80 +$102.53
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 2:40pm ET $23.71 216 $5,127.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 7:05pm ET $23.84 216 $5,155.91 $5,130.20 +$2.41
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:20am ET $20.81 247 $5,130.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 1:15pm ET $20.31 247 $5,006.94 $4,981.60 $-148.61
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 5:30pm ET $16.13 309 $4,981.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 7:30pm ET $15.78 309 $4,873.50 $4,848.86 $-132.73
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:30pm ET $16.46 295 $4,848.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 2:20am ET $16.42 295 $4,837.08 $4,812.87 $-36.00
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:20am ET $17.07 282 $4,812.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 6:10pm ET $17.85 282 $5,032.79 $5,008.17 +$195.31
(+4.6%)
TREND_BREAK
6.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:45pm ET $17.61 284 $5,008.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 2:35am ET $17.47 284 $4,968.36 $4,943.42 $-64.76
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:10pm ET $14.50 341 $4,943.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:10pm ET $14.93 341 $5,090.01 $5,064.93 +$121.51
(+3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
9h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:10am ET $13.46 376 $5,064.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 2:50pm ET $13.65 376 $5,136.43 $5,110.92 +$45.99
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $13.79 371 $5,110.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 7, 2025 4:25pm ET $13.73 371 $5,088.69 $5,063.19 $-47.74
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:50am ET $14.13 358 $5,063.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:20pm ET $14.59 358 $5,228.02 $5,202.29 +$139.10
(+3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 8:45am ET $12.17 427 $5,202.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:30am ET $12.05 427 $5,150.99 $5,125.11 $-77.18
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:25pm ET $11.74 437 $5,125.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 6:05am ET $11.93 437 $5,208.06 $5,182.22 +$57.11
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
7.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $13.01 398 $5,182.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 1, 2026 6:45pm ET $13.54 398 $5,393.34 $5,366.90 +$184.67
(+4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:40am ET $14.30 375 $5,366.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $14.50 375 $5,441.96 $5,414.94 +$48.04
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $12.51 433 $5,414.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 6:15pm ET $12.48 433 $5,401.95 $5,374.91 $-40.03
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $10.19 527 $5,374.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET $9.94 527 $5,243.04 $5,216.50 $-158.41
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $8.61 606 $5,216.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET $8.38 606 $5,077.15 $5,051.41 $-165.08
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET $9.11 554 $5,051.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $9.12 554 $5,056.96 $5,031.69 $-19.73
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:10am ET $8.85 569 $5,031.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET $8.59 569 $4,887.76 $4,887.76 $-168.73
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
35m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 8:20pm ET $8.63 566 $4,887.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:05pm ET $8.47 566 $4,797.14 $4,797.14 $-114.83
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 7:10am ET $9.02 532 $4,797.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $9.67 532 $5,142.83 $5,142.83 +$320.84
(+7.2%)
TREND_BREAK
8.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $8.95 575 $5,142.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 7:50pm ET $9.14 575 $5,252.01 $5,252.01 +$83.19
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $9.30 565 $5,252.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $9.21 565 $5,201.18 $5,201.18 $-76.96
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 4:20am ET $9.42 552 $5,201.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 6:35am ET $9.31 552 $5,140.44 $5,140.44 $-86.59
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:00am ET $9.73 528 $5,140.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $9.56 528 $5,050.63 $5,050.63 $-115.29
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:00am ET $9.77 517 $5,050.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $9.73 517 $5,029.95 $5,029.95 $-45.88
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 15, 2026 11:30pm ET $10.39 484 $5,029.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:35am ET $10.39 484 $5,029.95 $5,029.95 $-25.15
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $9.45 532 $5,029.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $9.51 532 $5,061.89 $5,061.89 +$6.71
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20am ET $9.26 547 $5,061.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 4:55am ET $9.24 547 $5,050.96 $5,050.96 $-36.21
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 5, 2026 8:25pm ET $9.23 547 $5,050.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:00am ET $9.45 547 $5,171.35 $5,171.35 +$94.84
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 5:50pm ET $9.12 567 $5,171.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:10am ET $9.45 567 $5,358.47 $5,358.47 +$160.80
(+3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
7.3h held
37 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 5:00pm ET $9.54 562 $5,358.47 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 6:40pm ET $9.37 562 $5,262.98 $5,262.98 $-122.04
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $6.86 767 $5,262.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:10pm ET $6.71 767 $5,145.63 $5,145.63 $-143.37
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 5:40pm ET $6.66 772 $5,145.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 9:05pm ET $6.71 772 $5,182.70 $5,182.70 +$11.25
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2026 3:30am ET $6.21 835 $5,182.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2026 7:15am ET $6.14 835 $5,127.61 $5,127.61 $-80.87
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 4:45pm ET $6.33 810 $5,127.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 8:50pm ET $6.40 810 $5,182.72 $5,182.72 +$29.33
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $6.43 806 $5,182.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:55pm ET $6.39 806 $5,147.28 $5,147.28 $-61.27
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
43 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $6.79 759 $5,147.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 4:15pm ET $6.71 759 $5,090.39 $5,090.39 $-82.48
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:40am ET $6.71 758 $5,090.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 5:40am ET $6.71 758 $5,085.08 $5,085.08 $-30.75
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2026 9:50am ET $6.49 784 $5,085.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2026 7:40pm ET $6.74 784 $5,282.56 $5,282.56 +$171.56
(+3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
9.8h held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2026 1:00am ET $6.49 813 $5,282.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2026 4:40am ET $6.55 813 $5,331.37 $5,331.37 +$22.27
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:40pm ET $6.89 774 $5,331.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 1:40am ET $6.84 774 $5,297.31 $5,297.31 $-60.63
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:55pm ET $6.80 779 $5,297.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2026 1:40am ET $6.67 779 $5,199.14 $5,199.14 $-124.41
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:30am ET $6.65 782 $5,199.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 2:10pm ET $6.51 782 $5,085.78 $5,085.78 $-139.08
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 5:05pm ET $6.79 749 $5,085.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 8:15pm ET $6.75 749 $5,049.85 $5,049.85 $-61.27
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:20am ET $7.12 709 $5,049.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $7.16 709 $5,076.81 $5,076.81 +$1.64
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 4:55am ET $7.67 662 $5,076.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 5:15am ET $7.42 662 $4,917.19 $4,917.19 $-184.61
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
20m held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 6:40pm ET $7.87 624 $4,917.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 8:45pm ET $7.79 624 $4,865.36 $4,865.36 $-76.29
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 12:50am ET $8.27 588 $4,865.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $7.66 588 $4,502.50 $4,502.50 $-386.28
(-7.5%)
TREND_BREAK
20m held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $7.72 584 $4,502.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $7.54 584 $4,397.45 $4,397.45 $-127.30
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:45pm ET $7.93 555 $4,397.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:15am ET $7.89 555 $4,374.71 $4,374.71 $-44.67
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45pm ET $8.52 513 $4,374.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 12:25am ET $8.47 513 $4,345.46 $4,345.46 $-51.05
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 5:05am ET $8.88 490 $4,345.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $9.68 490 $4,736.59 $4,736.59 +$368.42
(+9.0%)
TREND_BREAK
10.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 7:35pm ET $10.03 472 $4,736.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 9:10pm ET $9.93 472 $4,693.12 $4,693.12 $-67.04
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 7:45am ET $10.05 467 $4,693.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $11.04 467 $5,155.80 $5,155.80 +$438.06
(+9.9%)
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
61 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 8:15pm ET $11.64 443 $5,155.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 9:40pm ET $11.37 443 $5,035.72 $5,035.72 $-145.56
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
62 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 7:10am ET $11.53 437 $5,035.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:15am ET $11.33 437 $4,950.52 $4,950.52 $-110.17
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,950.52
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,049.48
Total Return: -50.49%
Back to Trent Follower