Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:37:23

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.6/10
Raw Quality 2.6/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,369
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-07-28 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
255 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,651.25
Current Value
$8,095.05
Period P&L
$-556.19
Max Drawdown
-19.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
5 / 11
Best Trade
+5.78%
Worst Trade
-3.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.40%
Avg Hold Time
8.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$260,108.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-556.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-556.19
Gross Return
-6.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 255 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,651.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $133.48 64 $8,542.72
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 11:50am ET $129.44 64 $8,283.84 $8,392.37 $-258.88
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET $133.58 62 $8,281.96
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 10:45am ET $129.71 62 $8,042.02 $8,152.43 $-239.94
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 10:00am ET $133.32 61 $8,132.22
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 1:40pm ET $134.02 61 $8,174.92 $8,195.13 +$42.70
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:40am ET $136.98 59 $8,081.82
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 1:00pm ET $136.66 59 $8,062.94 $8,176.25 $-18.88
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:55am ET $143.26 57 $8,165.82
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 1:05pm ET $142.11 57 $8,100.27 $8,110.70 $-65.55
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:35am ET $144.56 56 $8,095.36
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:40am ET $152.91 56 $8,562.96 $8,578.30 +$467.60
(+5.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 11:20am ET $153.21 55 $8,426.55
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 2:10pm ET $151.05 55 $8,307.75 $8,459.50 $-118.80
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET $157.70 53 $8,358.10
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 12:35pm ET $154.41 53 $8,183.73 $8,285.13 $-174.37
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET $166.42 49 $8,154.34
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:20pm ET $166.09 49 $8,138.41 $8,269.20 $-15.92
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:05am ET $182.82 45 $8,226.97
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:10pm ET $178.92 45 $8,051.40 $8,093.63 $-175.57
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET $180.27 44 $7,931.88
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $180.34 44 $7,934.96 $8,096.71 +$3.08
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $193.31 41 $7,925.71
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $193.08 41 $7,916.28 $8,087.28 $-9.43
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $180.40 44 $7,937.60
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $179.78 44 $7,910.32 $8,060.00 $-27.28
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $189.20 42 $7,946.40
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $191.46 42 $8,041.11 $8,154.71 +$94.71
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:40am ET $211.60 38 $8,040.61
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $212.98 38 $8,093.24 $8,207.34 +$52.63
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:35am ET $218.50 37 $8,084.50
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $215.46 37 $7,972.20 $8,095.05 $-112.29
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,095.05
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,904.95
Total Return: -19.05%
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