HOOD Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 55 trades in period
+45.46%
Last Year Return
$9,799.66
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$6,736.81
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
7
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
7.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 7.4
30-Day Momentum
1
-5.4%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,469
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$6,736.81
Current Value
$9,799.66
Period P&L
$3,062.84
Max Drawdown
-41.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
55
Winners / Losers
29 /
26
Best Trade
+15.74%
Worst Trade
-4.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.75%
Avg Hold Time
9.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,000,800.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,062.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,062.84
Gross Return
+45.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+45.46%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 55 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $6,736.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $125.54 | 53 | $6,653.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 12:35pm ET | $138.45 | 53 | $7,337.85 | $7,421.05 |
+$684.23 (+10.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:25am ET | $144.42 | 51 | $7,365.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 1:20pm ET | $148.39 | 51 | $7,567.64 | $7,623.27 |
+$202.22 (+2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $134.06 | 56 | $7,507.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 2:00pm ET | $137.77 | 56 | $7,714.84 | $7,831.03 |
+$207.76 (+2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $127.24 | 61 | $7,761.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $134.47 | 61 | $8,202.67 | $8,272.06 |
+$441.03 (+5.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $144.29 | 57 | $8,224.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 1:25pm ET | $146.65 | 57 | $8,359.05 | $8,406.85 |
+$134.79 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $144.86 | 58 | $8,401.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 12:50pm ET | $146.12 | 58 | $8,475.05 | $8,480.02 |
+$73.17 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 1:20pm ET | $127.77 | 66 | $8,432.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $133.65 | 66 | $8,820.90 | $8,868.11 |
+$388.09 (+4.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:50am ET | $124.82 | 71 | $8,862.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 1:40pm ET | $123.85 | 71 | $8,793.12 | $8,798.74 |
$-69.37 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $121.30 | 72 | $8,733.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:00am ET | $117.45 | 72 | $8,456.13 | $8,521.10 |
$-277.65 (-3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 2:20pm ET | $109.68 | 77 | $8,445.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET | $107.37 | 77 | $8,267.49 | $8,343.23 |
$-177.87 (-2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $122.91 | 67 | $8,234.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 11:10am ET | $128.07 | 67 | $8,580.64 | $8,688.89 |
+$345.67 (+4.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:55am ET | $127.88 | 67 | $8,567.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:25am ET | $124.76 | 67 | $8,358.92 | $8,479.85 |
$-209.04 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:55am ET | $120.37 | 70 | $8,425.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 12:45pm ET | $117.96 | 70 | $8,257.20 | $8,311.15 |
$-168.70 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $123.73 | 67 | $8,289.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:00pm ET | $119.33 | 67 | $7,994.78 | $8,016.02 |
$-295.14 (-3.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $119.63 | 67 | $8,015.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.91 | 67 | $8,167.72 | $8,168.52 |
+$152.51 (+1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.20 | 101 | $8,100.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $82.65 | 101 | $8,347.58 | $8,415.90 |
+$247.38 (+3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $78.10 | 107 | $8,356.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 11:50am ET | $76.33 | 107 | $8,167.32 | $8,226.52 |
$-189.38 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.10 | 106 | $8,172.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $76.11 | 106 | $8,068.19 | $8,122.64 |
$-103.88 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.06 | 105 | $8,091.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:25pm ET | $77.32 | 105 | $8,118.60 | $8,149.94 |
+$27.30 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $78.07 | 104 | $8,119.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $78.52 | 104 | $8,166.08 | $8,196.75 |
+$46.81 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.73 | 102 | $8,132.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:15pm ET | $81.73 | 102 | $8,336.46 | $8,400.75 |
+$204.00 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.47 | 108 | $8,367.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $76.13 | 108 | $8,222.04 | $8,255.64 |
$-145.11 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.05 | 114 | $8,213.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $73.25 | 114 | $8,350.50 | $8,392.44 |
+$136.80 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET | $68.31 | 122 | $8,333.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $70.38 | 122 | $8,586.36 | $8,644.98 |
+$252.54 (+3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.96 | 112 | $8,620.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:20pm ET | $73.15 | 112 | $8,192.80 | $8,217.70 |
$-427.28 (-5.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.24 | 109 | $8,201.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:40pm ET | $78.41 | 109 | $8,546.69 | $8,563.23 |
+$345.53 (+4.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.10 | 95 | $8,559.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $91.49 | 95 | $8,691.55 | $8,695.28 |
+$132.05 (+1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $73.06 | 119 | $8,694.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 12:50pm ET | $72.63 | 119 | $8,642.38 | $8,643.52 |
$-51.76 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.33 | 111 | $8,583.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $76.07 | 111 | $8,443.77 | $8,503.66 |
$-139.86 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 12:20pm ET | $79.87 | 106 | $8,466.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.07 | 106 | $8,381.69 | $8,419.12 |
$-84.54 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
21.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:00pm ET | $79.54 | 105 | $8,352.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $80.79 | 105 | $8,482.95 | $8,550.03 |
+$130.91 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $78.35 | 109 | $8,539.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $90.68 | 109 | $9,884.12 | $9,894.54 |
+$1,344.51 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $84.00 | 117 | $9,828.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:15pm ET | $84.36 | 117 | $9,870.12 | $9,936.66 |
+$42.12 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.26 | 115 | $9,919.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $88.60 | 115 | $10,188.43 | $10,205.66 |
+$269.00 (+2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 2:00pm ET | $91.59 | 111 | $10,166.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $90.58 | 111 | $10,054.93 | $10,094.11 |
$-111.55 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
19.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $98.70 | 102 | $10,067.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 1:10pm ET | $98.85 | 102 | $10,082.70 | $10,109.40 |
+$15.29 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $99.75 | 101 | $10,074.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $107.81 | 101 | $10,888.81 | $10,923.45 |
+$814.05 (+8.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $109.98 | 99 | $10,888.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $106.76 | 99 | $10,569.24 | $10,604.67 |
$-318.78 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $97.89 | 108 | $10,572.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $96.93 | 108 | $10,468.44 | $10,500.45 |
$-104.22 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $104.55 | 100 | $10,455.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $107.79 | 100 | $10,778.50 | $10,823.95 |
+$323.50 (+3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:45am ET | $117.58 | 92 | $10,817.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $116.23 | 92 | $10,693.16 | $10,699.75 |
$-124.20 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $116.13 | 92 | $10,683.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $116.30 | 92 | $10,700.04 | $10,715.83 |
+$16.08 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.22 | 92 | $10,692.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $112.88 | 92 | $10,384.96 | $10,408.09 |
$-307.74 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.43 | 98 | $10,331.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $106.85 | 98 | $10,470.81 | $10,547.25 |
+$139.16 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $99.12 | 106 | $10,506.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $94.94 | 106 | $10,064.17 | $10,104.70 |
$-442.55 (-4.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
50m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $90.03 | 112 | $10,083.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 3:10pm ET | $91.13 | 112 | $10,206.56 | $10,227.90 |
+$123.20 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $93.97 | 108 | $10,148.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET | $93.29 | 108 | $10,075.32 | $10,154.46 |
$-73.44 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $96.98 | 104 | $10,086.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $93.73 | 104 | $9,747.92 | $9,816.10 |
$-338.36 (-3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $99.79 | 98 | $9,779.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 2:05pm ET | $98.68 | 98 | $9,670.64 | $9,707.32 |
$-108.78 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $96.04 | 101 | $9,700.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 1:35pm ET | $96.42 | 101 | $9,738.42 | $9,745.69 |
+$38.37 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.13 | 96 | $9,708.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 2:50pm ET | $107.51 | 96 | $10,321.44 | $10,358.65 |
+$612.96 (+6.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 10:35am ET | $110.26 | 93 | $10,254.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.17 | 93 | $10,245.81 | $10,350.06 |
$-8.59 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.9h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $107.17 | 96 | $10,287.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 12:55pm ET | $104.97 | 96 | $10,077.11 | $10,139.33 |
$-210.73 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.90 | 92 | $10,110.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 1:45pm ET | $107.35 | 92 | $9,876.20 | $9,904.73 |
$-234.60 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.06 | 79 | $9,879.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $123.73 | 79 | $9,774.67 | $9,799.66 |
$-105.07 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,799.66
Net Profit/Loss:
$-200.34
Total Return:
-2.00%