LTCUSD Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 33 trades in period
-5.29%
Last Year Return
$9,140.49
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$9,505.69
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
4.8/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 4.1
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,288
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,505.69
Current Value
$9,140.49
Period P&L
$-502.92
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
11 /
22
Best Trade
+15.78%
Worst Trade
-3.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
3.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$650,395.52
Estimated Fees
$1,625.99
Gross P&L
$-502.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,128.91
Gross Return
-5.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.40%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,505.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 7:25pm ET | $88.05 | 108 | $9,505.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 11:15pm ET | $91.40 | 108 | $9,867.31 | $9,818.88 |
+$313.23 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 4:00am ET | $98.65 | 100 | $9,818.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 7:25am ET | $98.45 | 100 | $9,798.98 | $9,749.93 |
$-68.95 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 8:05pm ET | $104.56 | 93 | $9,749.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 11:25pm ET | $103.25 | 93 | $9,627.78 | $9,579.33 |
$-170.60 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 11:55pm ET | $107.78 | 89 | $9,579.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 3:50am ET | $107.87 | 89 | $9,587.33 | $9,539.41 |
$-39.92 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 19, 2025 3:05pm ET | $105.44 | 90 | $9,539.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 19, 2025 8:25pm ET | $112.12 | 90 | $10,143.77 | $10,094.56 |
+$555.15 (+6.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2025 1:45am ET | $116.65 | 87 | $10,094.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2025 6:35am ET | $117.44 | 87 | $10,162.93 | $10,112.28 |
+$17.72 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2025 1:25pm ET | $121.44 | 83 | $10,112.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2025 1:45pm ET | $117.56 | 83 | $9,789.20 | $9,739.44 |
$-372.84 (-3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
18m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 4:15am ET | $113.70 | 86 | $9,739.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 8:15am ET | $112.92 | 86 | $9,672.63 | $9,624.10 |
$-115.34 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 8:20am ET | $116.32 | 83 | $9,624.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 4:35pm ET | $119.30 | 83 | $9,870.66 | $9,821.92 |
+$197.82 (+2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
8.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 5:30am ET | $126.90 | 77 | $9,821.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 8:00am ET | $125.74 | 77 | $9,732.14 | $9,683.25 |
$-138.67 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 4:10pm ET | $129.90 | 75 | $9,683.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 8:20pm ET | $130.37 | 75 | $9,718.29 | $9,669.79 |
$-13.47 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:10am ET | $118.17 | 82 | $9,669.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 6:25pm ET | $122.79 | 82 | $10,047.84 | $9,998.54 |
+$328.76 (+3.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
8.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 5:35am ET | $110.60 | 90 | $9,998.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 1:10pm ET | $111.10 | 90 | $10,043.74 | $9,993.64 |
$-4.90 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 8:10pm ET | $116.76 | 86 | $9,993.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 11:35pm ET | $118.49 | 86 | $10,141.71 | $10,091.37 |
+$97.73 (+1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 6:25pm ET | $123.03 | 82 | $10,091.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 1:00am ET | $129.27 | 82 | $10,603.20 | $10,551.46 |
+$460.09 (+5.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 9:25am ET | $135.22 | 78 | $10,551.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $131.93 | 78 | $10,294.74 | $10,242.62 |
$-308.84 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:35pm ET | $101.46 | 101 | $10,242.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 11, 2025 1:20am ET | $98.91 | 101 | $9,985.20 | $9,934.63 |
$-308.00 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 2:50am ET | $105.67 | 94 | $9,934.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 5:05am ET | $101.80 | 94 | $9,570.79 | $9,522.02 |
$-412.60 (-3.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:15am ET | $90.36 | 105 | $9,522.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 12:45pm ET | $104.62 | 105 | $11,024.72 | $10,973.36 |
+$1,451.33 (+15.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 12:50pm ET | $103.67 | 106 | $10,973.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 2:50pm ET | $101.02 | 106 | $10,692.86 | $10,638.69 |
$-334.67 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 8, 2025 6:45pm ET | $104.45 | 102 | $10,638.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 8, 2025 9:15pm ET | $103.99 | 102 | $10,591.84 | $10,538.76 |
$-99.93 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 9, 2025 5:50am ET | $104.84 | 101 | $10,538.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 9, 2025 7:00am ET | $101.80 | 101 | $10,233.17 | $10,181.24 |
$-357.52 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 9, 2025 9:25am ET | $108.44 | 94 | $10,181.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 9, 2025 11:35am ET | $105.78 | 94 | $9,931.50 | $9,881.22 |
$-300.02 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 9, 2025 3:15pm ET | $110.60 | 89 | $9,881.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 9, 2025 6:10pm ET | $110.20 | 89 | $9,845.48 | $9,796.17 |
$-85.05 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 8:50pm ET | $101.72 | 96 | $9,796.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 15, 2025 12:25am ET | $103.28 | 96 | $9,946.40 | $9,897.05 |
+$100.88 (+1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 15, 2025 7:55am ET | $106.65 | 93 | $9,897.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $104.85 | 93 | $9,730.01 | $9,680.94 |
$-216.11 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:10am ET | $81.69 | 119 | $9,680.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:15pm ET | $82.47 | 119 | $9,773.37 | $9,724.74 |
+$43.80 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $60.61 | 160 | $9,724.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET | $59.46 | 160 | $9,540.22 | $9,492.06 |
$-232.68 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET | $52.44 | 181 | $9,492.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET | $50.61 | 181 | $9,160.81 | $9,114.18 |
$-377.88 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $55.57 | 164 | $9,114.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $54.72 | 164 | $8,974.77 | $8,929.55 |
$-184.63 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:05am ET | $55.48 | 161 | $8,929.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:05pm ET | $57.96 | 161 | $9,328.71 | $9,328.71 |
+$353.51 (+4.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $55.18 | 169 | $9,328.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $54.34 | 169 | $9,186.70 | $9,186.70 |
$-188.30 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET | $55.67 | 165 | $9,186.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $55.39 | 165 | $9,140.49 | $9,140.49 |
$-92.02 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,140.49
Net Profit/Loss:
$-859.51
Total Return:
-8.60%