Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:50

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
4.4/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 12.8/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 8.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,534
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
256 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,303.75
Current Value
$10,237.83
Period P&L
$-65.91
Max Drawdown
-0.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+4.71%
Worst Trade
-3.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
7.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$125,549.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-65.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-65.91
Gross Return
-0.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 256 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,303.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $101.96 101 $10,297.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:05pm ET $101.53 101 $10,254.53 $10,260.31 $-43.43
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $77.51 132 $10,231.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $81.16 132 $10,713.12 $10,742.11 +$481.80
(+4.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $83.58 128 $10,698.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $83.37 128 $10,671.36 $10,715.23 $-26.88
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $87.42 122 $10,665.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $86.85 122 $10,595.09 $10,645.08 $-70.15
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $93.85 113 $10,604.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:45am ET $90.93 113 $10,275.65 $10,315.93 $-329.15
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET $93.73 110 $10,310.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $93.02 110 $10,232.20 $10,237.83 $-78.10
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,237.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$237.83
Total Return: +2.38%
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