Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:35:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.1/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 25.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 25.7

30-Day Momentum

32
+8.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.0 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,163
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,845.93
Current Value
$13,912.97
Period P&L
$6,067.05
Max Drawdown
-44.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
68
Winners / Losers
33 / 35
Best Trade
+16.81%
Worst Trade
-5.60%
Avg Trade Return
+0.95%
Avg Hold Time
11.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,339,077.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,067.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,067.05
Gross Return
+77.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+77.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 68 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,845.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $26.57 295 $7,838.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 1:35pm ET $27.67 295 $8,162.65 $8,170.43 +$324.50
(+4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 9:45am ET $28.37 287 $8,142.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 1:20pm ET $28.45 287 $8,163.72 $8,191.96 +$21.52
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET $27.72 295 $8,175.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 12:00pm ET $26.93 295 $7,942.88 $7,958.91 $-233.05
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 10:00am ET $27.61 288 $7,950.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET $27.25 288 $7,848.00 $7,856.67 $-102.24
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $27.02 290 $7,834.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 2:00pm ET $27.70 290 $8,031.55 $8,053.87 +$197.20
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 11:15am ET $26.72 301 $8,042.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $28.16 301 $8,476.16 $8,487.28 +$433.41
(+5.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $24.52 346 $8,483.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET $23.85 346 $8,252.10 $8,255.46 $-231.82
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $24.72 333 $8,231.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:10am ET $24.06 333 $8,011.98 $8,035.68 $-219.78
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
42m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 3:40pm ET $26.58 302 $8,025.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:40am ET $26.11 302 $7,885.22 $7,895.25 $-140.43
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
19h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET $23.56 335 $7,892.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:05pm ET $23.48 335 $7,865.80 $7,868.45 $-26.80
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:05am ET $26.70 294 $7,850.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:05am ET $27.36 294 $8,043.84 $8,062.19 +$193.75
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:40am ET $30.76 262 $8,057.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:40pm ET $30.86 262 $8,085.32 $8,089.70 +$27.51
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET $32.80 246 $8,068.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 1:55pm ET $33.45 246 $8,228.70 $8,249.60 +$159.90
(+2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET $30.66 269 $8,247.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $30.67 269 $8,250.23 $8,251.91 +$2.31
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $33.70 244 $8,222.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $35.20 244 $8,587.58 $8,616.69 +$364.78
(+4.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $35.32 243 $8,581.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $41.25 243 $10,023.75 $10,058.90 +$1,442.21
(+16.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET $42.05 239 $10,049.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:25pm ET $41.31 239 $9,873.09 $9,882.16 $-176.74
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $44.38 222 $9,851.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $51.04 222 $11,330.66 $11,361.57 +$1,479.41
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $50.15 226 $11,333.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:55am ET $48.30 226 $10,915.80 $10,943.63 $-417.94
(-3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $46.51 235 $10,929.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:55am ET $45.80 235 $10,762.32 $10,776.09 $-167.53
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $44.77 240 $10,744.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $43.19 240 $10,364.40 $10,395.69 $-380.40
(-3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
24m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $42.59 244 $10,391.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $44.37 244 $10,826.30 $10,830.04 +$434.34
(+4.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $44.95 240 $10,788.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:20am ET $42.59 240 $10,221.60 $10,263.64 $-566.40
(-5.3%)
TREND_BREAK
30m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:20am ET $46.98 218 $10,241.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $46.00 218 $10,027.26 $10,049.26 $-214.38
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 1:30pm ET $48.49 207 $10,037.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:50am ET $48.93 207 $10,128.51 $10,140.34 +$91.08
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
20.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:50am ET $53.19 190 $10,106.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:45am ET $50.99 190 $9,688.10 $9,722.34 $-418.00
(-4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:40am ET $53.11 183 $9,719.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET $51.34 183 $9,395.24 $9,398.45 $-323.89
(-3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.49 175 $9,359.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $50.60 175 $8,855.00 $8,893.57 $-504.88
(-5.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7d held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $51.94 171 $8,882.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:00am ET $56.94 171 $9,735.89 $9,747.03 +$853.46
(+9.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $52.35 186 $9,737.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:50am ET $52.72 186 $9,805.92 $9,815.85 +$68.82
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8d held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 10:25am ET $57.14 171 $9,770.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $56.19 171 $9,607.91 $9,652.85 $-163.00
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:55am ET $54.62 176 $9,612.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $53.96 176 $9,496.08 $9,536.51 $-116.34
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET $53.57 178 $9,535.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:40pm ET $53.53 178 $9,528.34 $9,529.39 $-7.12
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $49.88 191 $9,527.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 11:45am ET $48.57 191 $9,276.87 $9,279.18 $-250.21
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $51.99 178 $9,254.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $51.68 178 $9,199.04 $9,224.00 $-55.18
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $54.63 168 $9,178.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $53.89 168 $9,053.52 $9,098.84 $-125.16
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
6.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $55.50 163 $9,046.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $54.48 163 $8,880.24 $8,932.58 $-166.26
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:40am ET $56.15 159 $8,928.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $54.33 159 $8,638.47 $8,642.80 $-289.78
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
20m held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $46.98 183 $8,597.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $46.70 183 $8,546.10 $8,591.56 $-51.24
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
40 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $46.58 184 $8,570.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $47.26 184 $8,696.37 $8,717.21 +$125.65
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
41 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:15am ET $47.86 182 $8,710.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:25am ET $49.10 182 $8,936.20 $8,942.89 +$225.68
(+2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
42 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:25am ET $54.60 163 $8,899.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $54.94 163 $8,954.41 $8,997.50 +$54.61
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
43 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:45am ET $54.59 164 $8,952.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:40pm ET $53.32 164 $8,744.48 $8,789.22 $-208.28
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
44 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:25am ET $47.85 183 $8,755.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $48.24 183 $8,827.92 $8,861.51 +$72.29
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
45 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $48.88 181 $8,848.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $47.98 181 $8,684.38 $8,697.71 $-163.80
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
46 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:10pm ET $48.72 178 $8,671.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $50.83 178 $9,047.74 $9,074.18 +$376.47
(+4.3%)
TREND_BREAK
23.4h held
47 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $50.45 179 $9,030.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $50.05 179 $8,958.95 $9,002.58 $-71.60
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
48 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $53.23 169 $8,995.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $56.02 169 $9,467.38 $9,474.09 +$471.51
(+5.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held
49 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $61.37 154 $9,450.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $62.26 154 $9,588.81 $9,611.92 +$137.83
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
21.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:50am ET $62.47 153 $9,557.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $62.33 153 $9,537.25 $9,591.26 $-20.66
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $61.03 157 $9,580.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $66.40 157 $10,424.80 $10,435.14 +$843.88
(+8.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $71.51 145 $10,369.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $71.69 145 $10,395.05 $10,460.51 +$25.38
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
53 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $75.80 138 $10,460.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $77.97 138 $10,759.86 $10,759.97 +$299.46
(+2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
54 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $56.29 191 $10,751.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $55.64 191 $10,627.22 $10,635.80 $-124.17
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET $57.68 184 $10,613.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $56.19 184 $10,338.96 $10,361.18 $-274.62
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:10am ET $59.27 174 $10,312.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $57.53 174 $10,009.35 $10,057.55 $-303.63
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
30m held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:50am ET $56.22 178 $10,007.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 11:40am ET $59.03 178 $10,508.19 $10,558.58 +$501.03
(+5.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 10:05am ET $62.12 169 $10,498.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $63.49 169 $10,729.81 $10,790.11 +$231.53
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $118.10 91 $10,747.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $137.45 91 $12,507.95 $12,551.01 +$1,760.90
(+16.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
60 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $144.45 86 $12,422.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $148.01 86 $12,728.86 $12,857.17 +$306.16
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
61 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $147.42 87 $12,825.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $156.92 87 $13,652.33 $13,684.36 +$827.19
(+6.4%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
62 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $141.93 96 $13,625.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $141.45 96 $13,578.72 $13,637.80 $-46.56
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
63 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $152.88 89 $13,605.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET $150.09 89 $13,357.57 $13,389.49 $-248.31
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
19h held
64 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $153.62 87 $13,364.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET $145.01 87 $12,615.87 $12,640.42 $-749.07
(-5.6%)
TREND_BREAK
15m held
65 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET $140.14 90 $12,612.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:05pm ET $147.42 90 $13,267.80 $13,295.67 +$655.25
(+5.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
66 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $152.56 87 $13,272.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $155.98 87 $13,569.83 $13,592.78 +$297.11
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
67 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $161.52 84 $13,568.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $169.56 84 $14,243.04 $14,267.72 +$674.94
(+5.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
68 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $188.69 75 $14,151.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:05am ET $183.96 75 $13,797.00 $13,912.97 $-354.75
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,912.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,912.97
Total Return: +39.13%
Back to Trent Follower