Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:28:13

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 34.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.0

30-Day Momentum

1
-1.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,436
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,870.44
Current Value
$15,568.24
Period P&L
$5,697.80
Max Drawdown
-25.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
35 / 35
Best Trade
+16.23%
Worst Trade
-13.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.76%
Avg Hold Time
12.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,488,982.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,697.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,697.80
Gross Return
+57.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+57.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,870.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $162.89 60 $9,773.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 12:55pm ET $162.45 60 $9,746.70 $9,843.73 $-26.71
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:15am ET $172.46 57 $9,830.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 1:45pm ET $183.18 57 $10,441.32 $10,454.82 +$611.10
(+6.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $196.37 53 $10,407.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 1:30pm ET $193.62 53 $10,261.60 $10,308.81 $-146.02
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET $191.37 53 $10,142.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 1:35pm ET $192.41 53 $10,197.73 $10,363.93 +$55.12
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET $203.80 50 $10,190.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 2:55pm ET $202.12 50 $10,106.00 $10,279.93 $-84.00
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET $204.55 50 $10,227.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $218.06 50 $10,903.00 $10,955.59 +$675.67
(+6.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $229.50 47 $10,786.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 12:10pm ET $226.33 47 $10,637.51 $10,806.65 $-148.95
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $235.27 45 $10,587.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 1:40pm ET $234.40 45 $10,548.00 $10,767.50 $-39.15
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $238.08 45 $10,713.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 1:35pm ET $238.10 45 $10,714.50 $10,768.62 +$1.13
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $253.46 42 $10,645.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $242.62 42 $10,190.04 $10,313.34 $-455.28
(-4.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $249.46 41 $10,227.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $242.44 41 $9,940.04 $10,025.52 $-287.82
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:00pm ET $235.25 42 $9,880.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $204.18 42 $8,575.56 $8,720.58 $-1,304.94
(-13.2%)
TREND_BREAK
21.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:30am ET $209.36 41 $8,583.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 12:50pm ET $206.81 41 $8,479.21 $8,616.03 $-104.55
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $231.63 37 $8,570.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:20pm ET $230.74 37 $8,537.38 $8,583.10 $-32.93
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $236.77 36 $8,523.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 1:50pm ET $236.90 36 $8,528.40 $8,587.78 +$4.68
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $261.65 32 $8,372.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 12:50pm ET $260.75 32 $8,344.00 $8,558.98 $-28.80
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $260.51 32 $8,336.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:30pm ET $252.39 32 $8,076.35 $8,299.01 $-259.97
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET $286.90 28 $8,033.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:00am ET $285.98 28 $8,007.44 $8,273.25 $-25.76
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $302.59 27 $8,169.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET $314.84 27 $8,500.68 $8,604.00 +$330.75
(+4.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET $333.22 25 $8,330.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:25am ET $340.65 25 $8,516.13 $8,789.62 +$185.62
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
23.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:55am ET $337.59 26 $8,777.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:30am ET $344.39 26 $8,954.01 $8,966.29 +$176.67
(+2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $343.47 26 $8,930.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $342.94 26 $8,916.31 $8,952.38 $-13.91
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $373.07 23 $8,580.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:55am ET $365.51 23 $8,406.73 $8,778.50 $-173.88
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET $407.92 21 $8,566.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 11:50am ET $398.04 21 $8,358.84 $8,571.02 $-207.48
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $404.86 21 $8,501.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $411.87 21 $8,649.27 $8,718.32 +$147.29
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $447.52 19 $8,502.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET $435.90 19 $8,282.10 $8,497.54 $-220.78
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
54m held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:35am ET $439.05 19 $8,341.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $437.23 19 $8,307.36 $8,462.95 $-34.58
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $386.26 21 $8,111.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET $373.54 21 $7,844.33 $8,195.79 $-267.16
(-3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
30m held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:15am ET $417.84 19 $7,938.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $423.03 19 $8,037.57 $8,294.40 +$98.61
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET $428.93 19 $8,149.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $423.78 19 $8,051.82 $8,196.53 $-97.87
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET $396.84 20 $7,936.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 2:35pm ET $403.56 20 $8,071.17 $8,330.84 +$134.31
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $401.07 20 $8,021.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $412.01 20 $8,240.20 $8,549.74 +$218.90
(+2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $418.90 20 $8,378.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $422.16 20 $8,443.15 $8,614.89 +$65.15
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 24 $8,358.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $371.12 24 $8,906.88 $9,163.05 +$548.16
(+6.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $376.67 24 $9,040.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $377.93 24 $9,070.32 $9,193.17 +$30.12
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 22 $9,112.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $405.87 22 $8,929.14 $9,010.24 $-182.93
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $436.00 20 $8,720.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:55am ET $452.61 20 $9,052.30 $9,342.54 +$332.30
(+3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $464.55 20 $9,291.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $482.23 20 $9,644.70 $9,696.24 +$353.70
(+3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $497.40 19 $9,450.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $496.64 19 $9,436.07 $9,681.71 $-14.53
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $527.40 18 $9,493.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $515.80 18 $9,284.40 $9,472.91 $-208.80
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
41 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:50am ET $532.02 17 $9,044.34 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $530.81 17 $9,023.77 $9,452.34 $-20.57
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
42 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 15 $9,140.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $638.34 15 $9,575.03 $9,886.82 +$434.48
(+4.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
43 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:20am ET $678.65 14 $9,501.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 11:15am ET $659.86 14 $9,238.11 $9,623.83 $-262.99
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
44 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 11:15am ET $715.56 13 $9,302.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $796.72 13 $10,357.36 $10,678.91 +$1,055.08
(+11.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held
45 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $762.26 14 $10,671.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $796.63 14 $11,152.82 $11,160.09 +$481.18
(+4.5%)
TREND_BREAK
22.1h held
46 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:45am ET $696.16 16 $11,138.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $704.64 16 $11,274.24 $11,295.77 +$135.68
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
47 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:45am ET $749.52 15 $11,242.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $745.47 15 $11,182.05 $11,235.02 $-60.75
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
48 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $822.46 13 $10,691.98 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $955.96 13 $12,427.48 $12,970.52 +$1,735.50
(+16.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
49 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $969.00 13 $12,597.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $960.67 13 $12,488.71 $12,862.23 $-108.29
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $938.26 13 $12,197.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $948.65 13 $12,332.45 $12,997.30 +$135.07
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $924.89 14 $12,948.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $907.00 14 $12,698.00 $12,746.84 $-250.46
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET $945.49 13 $12,291.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $982.46 13 $12,771.98 $13,227.45 +$480.61
(+3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
22.4h held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $1,070.60 12 $12,847.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,079.21 12 $12,950.58 $13,330.83 +$103.38
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
54 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $1,108.30 12 $13,299.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,134.24 12 $13,610.94 $13,642.17 +$311.34
(+2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
6.4h held
55 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $1,228.15 11 $13,509.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $1,138.24 11 $12,520.64 $12,653.21 $-988.96
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
56 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $1,125.47 11 $12,380.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,146.35 11 $12,609.85 $12,882.93 +$229.71
(+1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
57 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,003.49 12 $12,041.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $998.94 12 $11,987.28 $12,828.27 $-54.66
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
58 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 12 $12,148.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $1,017.81 12 $12,213.72 $12,893.07 +$64.80
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $977.69 13 $12,709.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 2:40pm ET $979.50 13 $12,733.50 $12,916.61 +$23.54
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
60 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:35am ET $877.28 14 $12,281.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $876.28 14 $12,267.99 $12,902.68 $-13.93
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
61 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $931.08 13 $12,103.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $967.87 13 $12,582.32 $13,381.03 +$478.35
(+4.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
62 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $796.56 16 $12,744.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $917.58 16 $14,681.20 $15,317.27 +$1,936.24
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
63 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $861.74 17 $14,649.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $893.53 17 $15,190.09 $15,857.78 +$540.51
(+3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
6h held
64 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $916.79 17 $15,585.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 2:30pm ET $925.27 17 $15,729.59 $16,001.94 +$144.16
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
65 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,000.00 16 $16,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,019.54 16 $16,312.64 $16,314.58 +$312.64
(+2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
66 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $987.11 16 $15,793.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:20am ET $959.42 16 $15,350.72 $15,871.54 $-443.04
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
50m held
67 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $946.35 16 $15,141.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:50pm ET $924.92 16 $14,798.72 $15,528.66 $-342.88
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
68 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $989.50 15 $14,842.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $998.12 15 $14,971.80 $15,658.02 +$129.36
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
69 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $976.96 16 $15,631.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $975.68 16 $15,610.88 $15,637.54 $-20.48
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
70 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $1,044.75 14 $14,626.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,039.80 14 $14,557.20 $15,568.24 $-69.30
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,568.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,568.24
Total Return: +55.68%
Back to Trent Follower