Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 20:24:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 8.6/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 7.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,986
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,427.50
Current Value
$8,463.97
Period P&L
$36.45
Max Drawdown
-30.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
6 / 11
Best Trade
+5.86%
Worst Trade
-2.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
11.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$278,692.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$36.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$36.45
Gross Return
+0.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,427.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 9:40am ET $183.60 45 $8,262.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 12:55pm ET $181.72 45 $8,177.49 $8,343.00 $-84.51
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 9:50am ET $194.75 42 $8,179.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 12:55pm ET $192.75 42 $8,095.50 $8,259.00 $-84.00
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 3:30pm ET $202.99 40 $8,119.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 12:00pm ET $205.59 40 $8,223.52 $8,363.12 +$104.12
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
20.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $194.33 43 $8,356.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $194.71 43 $8,372.53 $8,379.32 +$16.20
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $192.80 43 $8,290.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:30am ET $188.90 43 $8,122.49 $8,211.41 $-167.92
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $182.09 45 $8,194.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:30pm ET $180.13 45 $8,105.85 $8,123.21 $-88.20
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $185.32 43 $7,968.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:10am ET $181.28 43 $7,795.04 $7,949.49 $-173.72
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $188.79 42 $7,929.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $188.40 42 $7,912.59 $7,932.90 $-16.59
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $180.60 43 $7,765.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $191.17 43 $8,220.31 $8,387.62 +$454.72
(+5.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 45 $8,307.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $181.60 45 $8,172.00 $8,252.62 $-135.00
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:50am ET $207.10 39 $8,076.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $208.47 39 $8,130.33 $8,306.25 +$53.63
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:55am ET $204.09 40 $8,163.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $211.15 40 $8,445.82 $8,588.47 +$282.22
(+3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $227.04 37 $8,400.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $225.87 37 $8,357.01 $8,545.00 $-43.47
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $230.74 37 $8,537.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $225.51 37 $8,343.87 $8,351.67 $-193.33
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $221.12 37 $8,181.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $220.89 37 $8,172.93 $8,343.16 $-8.51
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $222.06 37 $8,216.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $226.96 37 $8,397.34 $8,524.28 +$181.12
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:10am ET $226.49 37 $8,380.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $224.86 37 $8,319.82 $8,463.97 $-60.31
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,463.97
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,536.03
Total Return: -15.36%
Back to Trent Follower