ORCL Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 43 trades in period
-5.29%
Last Year Return
$11,862.97
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$12,526.19
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality
25.8/100
× Confidence 0.92
= 23.8
30-Day Momentum
2
-7.3%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,763
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$12,526.19
Current Value
$11,862.97
Period P&L
$-663.21
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
19 /
24
Best Trade
+15.46%
Worst Trade
-6.49%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
9.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$992,166.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-663.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-663.21
Gross Return
-5.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.29%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $12,526.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:45am ET | $306.32 | 40 | $12,252.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 2:50pm ET | $308.78 | 40 | $12,351.20 | $12,624.77 |
+$98.60 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 1:05pm ET | $318.80 | 39 | $12,433.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $298.11 | 39 | $11,626.43 | $11,818.20 |
$-806.58 (-6.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $244.28 | 48 | $11,725.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 12:55pm ET | $241.43 | 48 | $11,588.64 | $11,681.40 |
$-136.80 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 11:20am ET | $224.08 | 52 | $11,652.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:15pm ET | $224.78 | 52 | $11,688.51 | $11,717.75 |
+$36.35 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $232.62 | 50 | $11,631.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $226.56 | 50 | $11,328.00 | $11,414.75 |
$-303.00 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $206.88 | 55 | $11,378.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:30pm ET | $205.17 | 55 | $11,284.35 | $11,320.70 |
$-94.05 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $208.12 | 54 | $11,238.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:10am ET | $203.32 | 54 | $10,979.01 | $11,061.50 |
$-259.20 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $222.87 | 49 | $10,920.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 12:00pm ET | $218.32 | 49 | $10,697.68 | $10,838.79 |
$-222.71 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 2:35pm ET | $200.45 | 54 | $10,824.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $195.77 | 54 | $10,571.58 | $10,586.07 |
$-252.72 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $189.60 | 55 | $10,428.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 1:40pm ET | $192.95 | 55 | $10,612.25 | $10,770.32 |
+$184.25 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $197.36 | 54 | $10,657.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $197.44 | 54 | $10,661.76 | $10,774.64 |
+$4.32 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.52 | 60 | $10,710.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:25pm ET | $178.27 | 60 | $10,696.11 | $10,759.85 |
$-14.79 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.01 | 58 | $10,614.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:40pm ET | $183.67 | 58 | $10,652.86 | $10,798.13 |
+$38.28 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $180.81 | 59 | $10,667.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:10am ET | $175.32 | 59 | $10,343.88 | $10,474.17 |
$-323.96 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.07 | 68 | $10,340.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:50pm ET | $157.80 | 68 | $10,730.40 | $10,864.10 |
+$389.93 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $145.45 | 74 | $10,763.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $145.52 | 74 | $10,768.33 | $10,869.13 |
+$5.03 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $148.99 | 72 | $10,727.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $148.62 | 72 | $10,700.64 | $10,842.49 |
$-26.64 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.00 | 65 | $10,790.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $163.46 | 65 | $10,624.89 | $10,677.38 |
$-165.11 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.00 | 70 | $10,570.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $143.90 | 70 | $10,073.35 | $10,180.73 |
$-496.65 (-4.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $144.28 | 70 | $10,099.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.59 | 70 | $11,661.30 | $11,742.43 |
+$1,561.70 (+15.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $169.17 | 69 | $11,672.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $168.84 | 69 | $11,649.96 | $11,719.66 |
$-22.77 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $183.76 | 63 | $11,576.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $178.63 | 63 | $11,253.38 | $11,396.16 |
$-323.50 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $182.85 | 62 | $11,337.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:20pm ET | $183.36 | 62 | $11,368.32 | $11,427.47 |
+$31.31 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $169.17 | 67 | $11,334.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $172.14 | 67 | $11,533.38 | $11,626.46 |
+$198.99 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $192.95 | 60 | $11,576.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $194.81 | 60 | $11,688.60 | $11,738.07 |
+$111.61 (+1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $195.82 | 59 | $11,553.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:45pm ET | $195.77 | 59 | $11,550.43 | $11,735.36 |
$-2.71 (-0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $196.59 | 59 | $11,598.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 2:55pm ET | $202.87 | 59 | $11,969.33 | $12,105.79 |
+$370.43 (+3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.84 | 52 | $12,055.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $244.72 | 52 | $12,725.44 | $12,775.47 |
+$669.68 (+5.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $219.96 | 58 | $12,757.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $212.84 | 58 | $12,344.43 | $12,362.22 |
$-413.25 (-3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
25m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $211.85 | 58 | $12,287.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $204.99 | 58 | $11,889.42 | $11,964.34 |
$-397.88 (-3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
45m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $184.69 | 64 | $11,820.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $179.74 | 64 | $11,503.36 | $11,647.54 |
$-316.80 (-2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $189.65 | 61 | $11,568.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 1:55pm ET | $193.67 | 61 | $11,813.87 | $11,892.76 |
+$245.22 (+2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $144.09 | 82 | $11,815.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 12:55pm ET | $144.93 | 82 | $11,884.67 | $11,962.05 |
+$69.29 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $121.11 | 98 | $11,868.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $118.64 | 98 | $11,626.23 | $11,719.50 |
$-242.55 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $123.26 | 95 | $11,709.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:15am ET | $126.19 | 95 | $11,988.52 | $11,998.32 |
+$278.82 (+2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $135.95 | 88 | $11,963.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $146.13 | 88 | $12,859.44 | $12,894.16 |
+$895.84 (+7.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.13 | 84 | $12,862.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.24 | 84 | $12,788.16 | $12,819.40 |
$-74.76 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.07 | 87 | $12,795.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 1:30pm ET | $146.82 | 87 | $12,773.34 | $12,797.65 |
$-21.75 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.95 | 84 | $12,679.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 12:40pm ET | $147.35 | 84 | $12,377.40 | $12,495.25 |
$-302.40 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $150.99 | 82 | $12,381.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $154.37 | 82 | $12,658.38 | $12,772.45 |
+$277.20 (+2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.75 | 76 | $12,749.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 12:55pm ET | $162.78 | 76 | $12,371.28 | $12,394.73 |
$-377.72 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.72 | 75 | $12,279.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $155.44 | 75 | $11,658.36 | $11,774.09 |
$-620.64 (-5.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
35m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $148.68 | 79 | $11,745.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $149.80 | 79 | $11,834.59 | $11,862.97 |
+$88.88 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,862.97
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,862.97
Total Return:
+18.63%