PLTR Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 36 trades in period
+7.87%
Last Year Return
$10,644.54
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$9,868.34
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
7.2/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
13.6/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 12.8
30-Day Momentum
20
+2.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.8
Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,792
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,868.34
Current Value
$10,644.54
Period P&L
$776.17
Max Drawdown
-30.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
17 /
19
Best Trade
+12.65%
Worst Trade
-4.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
8.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$715,383.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$776.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$776.17
Gross Return
+7.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.87%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,868.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $181.45 | 54 | $9,798.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 1:25pm ET | $180.07 | 54 | $9,723.78 | $9,794.12 |
$-74.26 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:45am ET | $190.95 | 51 | $9,738.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 1:25pm ET | $190.19 | 51 | $9,699.68 | $9,755.61 |
$-38.51 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 9:50am ET | $195.92 | 49 | $9,600.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:20pm ET | $196.92 | 49 | $9,649.08 | $9,804.66 |
+$49.06 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 3:00pm ET | $178.22 | 55 | $9,802.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $191.23 | 55 | $10,517.65 | $10,520.09 |
+$715.43 (+7.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $173.16 | 60 | $10,389.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET | $166.69 | 60 | $10,001.40 | $10,132.19 |
$-387.90 (-3.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 10:35am ET | $162.06 | 62 | $10,047.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET | $162.36 | 62 | $10,066.32 | $10,150.79 |
+$18.60 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $173.29 | 58 | $10,050.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:30am ET | $170.30 | 58 | $9,877.40 | $9,977.66 |
$-173.13 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:25am ET | $186.36 | 53 | $9,877.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 2:00pm ET | $185.87 | 53 | $9,851.11 | $9,951.74 |
$-25.92 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $198.24 | 50 | $9,912.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 11:30am ET | $193.32 | 50 | $9,665.75 | $9,705.49 |
$-246.25 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $174.55 | 55 | $9,600.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $173.51 | 55 | $9,543.05 | $9,648.30 |
$-57.19 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.58 | 60 | $9,574.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $156.32 | 60 | $9,379.50 | $9,452.88 |
$-195.42 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $136.46 | 69 | $9,415.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $135.40 | 69 | $9,342.26 | $9,379.74 |
$-73.14 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $137.87 | 68 | $9,374.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:15pm ET | $138.51 | 68 | $9,418.34 | $9,423.26 |
+$43.52 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $133.27 | 70 | $9,328.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $134.55 | 70 | $9,418.50 | $9,512.86 |
+$89.60 (+1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.87 | 67 | $9,438.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:50pm ET | $145.27 | 67 | $9,733.42 | $9,807.99 |
+$295.13 (+3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $151.26 | 64 | $9,680.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:25pm ET | $153.24 | 64 | $9,807.36 | $9,935.03 |
+$127.04 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $157.73 | 62 | $9,779.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $156.86 | 62 | $9,725.38 | $9,881.15 |
$-53.88 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $146.99 | 67 | $9,848.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $145.02 | 67 | $9,716.17 | $9,748.66 |
$-132.49 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.76 | 62 | $9,595.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $148.38 | 62 | $9,199.56 | $9,352.79 |
$-395.87 (-4.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $131.90 | 70 | $9,233.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET | $132.83 | 70 | $9,298.10 | $9,417.54 |
+$64.75 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $151.84 | 62 | $9,414.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.73 | 62 | $9,283.26 | $9,286.72 |
$-130.82 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.95 | 64 | $9,212.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $144.13 | 64 | $9,224.00 | $9,297.92 |
+$11.20 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $137.79 | 67 | $9,231.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $137.84 | 67 | $9,234.95 | $9,300.94 |
+$3.02 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $138.47 | 67 | $9,277.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $155.98 | 67 | $10,450.65 | $10,474.10 |
+$1,173.16 (+12.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $133.35 | 78 | $10,400.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $133.48 | 78 | $10,411.44 | $10,484.63 |
+$10.53 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $110.96 | 94 | $10,430.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:25pm ET | $112.79 | 94 | $10,602.26 | $10,656.65 |
+$172.02 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.07 | 87 | $10,620.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $126.52 | 87 | $11,007.50 | $11,043.92 |
+$387.27 (+3.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.79 | 83 | $10,938.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $127.76 | 83 | $10,604.49 | $10,709.85 |
$-334.07 (-3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $133.69 | 80 | $10,695.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 3:35pm ET | $133.36 | 80 | $10,668.80 | $10,683.45 |
$-26.40 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $127.83 | 83 | $10,609.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.45 | 83 | $10,246.46 | $10,320.02 |
$-363.43 (-3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.78 | 81 | $10,269.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 3:40pm ET | $125.47 | 81 | $10,163.47 | $10,214.31 |
$-105.71 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $164.20 | 62 | $10,180.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $169.57 | 62 | $10,513.03 | $10,546.94 |
+$332.63 (+3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $181.44 | 58 | $10,523.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 2:15pm ET | $178.66 | 58 | $10,362.28 | $10,385.70 |
$-161.24 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $184.36 | 56 | $10,324.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $185.93 | 56 | $10,411.80 | $10,473.34 |
+$87.64 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.41 | 59 | $10,467.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 1:35pm ET | $182.66 | 59 | $10,776.94 | $10,783.09 |
+$309.75 (+3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $193.15 | 55 | $10,623.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $190.63 | 55 | $10,484.70 | $10,644.54 |
$-138.55 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,644.54
Net Profit/Loss:
+$644.54
Total Return:
+6.45%