Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:22:40

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.2/10
Raw Quality 2.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.2

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.3%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,135
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$5,721.08
Current Value
$4,240.65
Period P&L
$-2,194.90
Max Drawdown
-73.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
59
Winners / Losers
11 / 48
Best Trade
+15.03%
Worst Trade
-3.38%
Avg Trade Return
-0.24%
Avg Hold Time
3.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$572,084.65
Estimated Fees
$1,430.21
Gross P&L
$-2,194.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,625.11
Gross Return
-38.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-63.36%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 59 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $5,721.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 4:55am ET $0.00001233 463,997,526 $5,721.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 8:25am ET $0.00001225 463,997,526 $5,683.97 $5,655.46 $-65.63
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 8:35pm ET $0.00001005 562,732,044 $5,655.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 1:25am ET $0.00001017 562,732,044 $5,722.98 $5,694.54 +$39.08
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2025 5:00am ET $0.00001067 533,696,231 $5,694.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 7:10am ET $0.00001045 533,696,231 $5,577.13 $5,548.95 $-145.59
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 12, 2025 10:50am ET $0.00001040 533,552,543 $5,548.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 12, 2025 5:30pm ET $0.00001067 533,552,543 $5,693.01 $5,664.90 +$115.95
(+2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
6.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 10:55am ET $0.00001038 545,751,518 $5,664.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 2:05pm ET $0.00001037 545,751,518 $5,659.44 $5,631.13 $-33.77
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:55pm ET $0.00000905 622,224,572 $5,631.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 1:20am ET $0.00000901 622,224,572 $5,606.24 $5,578.15 $-52.98
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:20am ET $0.00000960 581,057,287 $5,578.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 6:05pm ET $0.00001012 581,057,287 $5,880.30 $5,851.65 +$273.50
(+5.4%)
TREND_BREAK
6.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:55pm ET $0.00000834 701,637,125 $5,851.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 5:15pm ET $0.00000836 701,637,125 $5,865.69 $5,836.39 $-15.26
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 5:50pm ET $0.00000876 666,254,910 $5,836.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 8:20pm ET $0.00000871 666,254,910 $5,803.08 $5,773.98 $-62.41
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 4:30am ET $0.00000905 638,009,015 $5,773.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 6:10am ET $0.00000890 638,009,015 $5,678.28 $5,649.65 $-124.33
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET $0.00000831 679,861,562 $5,649.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 2:05pm ET $0.00000848 679,861,562 $5,765.23 $5,736.69 +$87.04
(+2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 11:50am ET $0.00000928 618,177,678 $5,736.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:45pm ET $0.00000910 618,177,678 $5,625.42 $5,597.01 $-139.68
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 11:30am ET $0.00000894 626,063,938 $5,597.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 2:25pm ET $0.00000886 626,063,938 $5,546.93 $5,519.07 $-77.94
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:25pm ET $0.00000732 753,970,854 $5,519.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 12:30pm ET $0.00000747 753,970,854 $5,632.16 $5,604.28 +$85.22
(+2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
14.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:20am ET $0.00000802 698,788,554 $5,604.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $0.00000802 698,788,554 $5,604.28 $5,576.26 $-28.02
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 4, 2026 11:55am ET $0.00000924 603,491,643 $5,576.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $0.00000908 603,491,643 $5,479.70 $5,452.06 $-124.20
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:05am ET $0.00000905 602,438,034 $5,452.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $0.00000936 602,438,034 $5,638.82 $5,611.09 +$159.03
(+3.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:45pm ET $0.00000961 583,880,623 $5,611.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:50pm ET $0.00000939 583,880,623 $5,482.64 $5,454.90 $-156.19
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 5:15pm ET $0.00000908 600,760,431 $5,454.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 8:15pm ET $0.00000896 600,760,431 $5,382.81 $5,355.72 $-99.19
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 4:10pm ET $0.00000860 622,758,043 $5,355.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 7:30pm ET $0.00000854 622,758,043 $5,318.35 $5,291.67 $-64.05
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $0.00000805 657,350,125 $5,291.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 6:35pm ET $0.00000803 657,350,125 $5,278.52 $5,252.10 $-39.57
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET $0.00000681 771,232,897 $5,252.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 10:20pm ET $0.00000680 771,232,897 $5,244.38 $5,218.14 $-33.95
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET $0.00000701 744,385,521 $5,218.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $0.00000690 744,385,521 $5,136.26 $5,110.37 $-107.77
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $0.00000690 740,633,925 $5,110.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET $0.00000671 740,633,925 $4,969.65 $4,944.45 $-165.92
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:00pm ET $0.00000582 849,562,469 $4,944.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET $0.00000581 849,562,469 $4,935.96 $4,911.26 $-33.20
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET $0.00000628 782,047,280 $4,911.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $0.00000621 782,047,280 $4,856.51 $4,832.09 $-79.16
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:10am ET $0.00000601 804,008,319 $4,832.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET $0.00000582 804,008,319 $4,679.33 $4,679.33 $-176.54
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
45m held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:05am ET $0.00000650 719,896,923 $4,679.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $0.00000631 719,896,923 $4,542.55 $4,542.55 $-159.84
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 8:20pm ET $0.00000610 744,680,328 $4,542.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 10:35pm ET $0.00000600 744,680,328 $4,468.08 $4,468.08 $-96.99
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:00am ET $0.00000629 710,346,582 $4,468.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $0.00000638 710,346,582 $4,532.01 $4,532.01 +$41.43
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET $0.00000570 795,089,474 $4,532.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $0.00000564 795,089,474 $4,484.30 $4,484.30 $-70.25
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 4:20am ET $0.00000568 789,489,437 $4,484.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 6:35am ET $0.00000554 789,489,437 $4,373.77 $4,373.77 $-132.67
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:00am ET $0.00000582 751,506,873 $4,373.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $0.00000579 751,506,873 $4,351.22 $4,351.22 $-44.36
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:55am ET $0.00000595 731,297,479 $4,351.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:55pm ET $0.00000593 731,297,479 $4,336.59 $4,336.59 $-36.35
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 8:00am ET $0.00000624 694,966,995 $4,336.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET $0.00000614 694,966,995 $4,267.10 $4,267.10 $-91.01
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 4:05am ET $0.00000642 664,656,908 $4,267.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 4:30am ET $0.00000624 664,656,908 $4,147.46 $4,147.46 $-140.67
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
25m held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:15am ET $0.00000619 670,025,704 $4,147.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:35am ET $0.00000602 670,025,704 $4,033.55 $4,033.55 $-134.36
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET $0.00000599 673,380,634 $4,033.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $0.00000604 673,380,634 $4,067.22 $4,067.22 +$13.42
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 5, 2026 8:25pm ET $0.00000608 668,950,658 $4,067.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 5, 2026 11:25pm ET $0.00000601 668,950,658 $4,020.39 $4,020.39 $-67.05
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:20am ET $0.00000644 624,284,161 $4,020.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:45am ET $0.00000635 624,284,161 $3,964.20 $3,964.20 $-76.15
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 5:55am ET $0.00000645 614,604,651 $3,964.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 8:05am ET $0.00000631 614,604,651 $3,878.16 $3,878.16 $-105.65
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $0.00000482 804,597,510 $3,878.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:10pm ET $0.00000470 804,597,510 $3,781.61 $3,781.61 $-115.70
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2026 10:25am ET $0.00000439 861,414,579 $3,781.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2026 1:40pm ET $0.00000505 861,414,579 $4,350.14 $4,350.14 +$548.20
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2026 1:45pm ET $0.00000505 861,414,579 $4,350.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2026 4:15pm ET $0.00000492 861,414,579 $4,238.16 $4,238.16 $-133.45
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2026 9:50pm ET $0.00000509 832,644,347 $4,238.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 26, 2026 4:00am ET $0.00000554 832,644,347 $4,612.85 $4,612.85 +$352.56
(+8.8%)
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 8:05am ET $0.00000484 953,068,116 $4,612.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:35am ET $0.00000473 953,068,116 $4,508.01 $4,508.01 $-127.64
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 8:55pm ET $0.00000491 918,128,310 $4,508.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2026 12:40am ET $0.00000490 918,128,310 $4,498.83 $4,498.83 $-31.70
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2026 11:55am ET $0.00000513 876,964,912 $4,498.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $0.00000498 876,964,912 $4,367.29 $4,367.29 $-153.71
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $0.00000466 937,186,695 $4,367.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $0.00000459 937,186,695 $4,301.69 $4,301.69 $-87.28
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 5:15pm ET $0.00000471 913,309,979 $4,301.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:20pm ET $0.00000473 913,309,979 $4,319.96 $4,319.96 $-3.29
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 4:40am ET $0.00000497 869,207,243 $4,319.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 7:20am ET $0.00000490 869,207,243 $4,259.12 $4,259.12 $-82.29
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:40am ET $0.00000521 817,489,443 $4,259.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 7:45am ET $0.00000520 817,489,443 $4,250.95 $4,250.95 $-29.45
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 5:30pm ET $0.00000557 763,186,715 $4,250.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:35pm ET $0.00000599 763,186,715 $4,571.49 $4,571.49 +$298.48
(+7.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:00am ET $0.00000574 796,426,829 $4,571.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:15am ET $0.00000566 796,426,829 $4,507.78 $4,507.78 $-86.41
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:55am ET $0.00000545 827,115,596 $4,507.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $0.00000543 827,115,596 $4,491.24 $4,491.24 $-39.04
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $0.00000526 853,847,909 $4,491.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $0.00000522 853,847,909 $4,457.09 $4,457.09 $-56.52
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:10am ET $0.00000592 752,886,824 $4,457.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $0.00000587 752,886,824 $4,419.45 $4,419.45 $-59.84
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:05am ET $0.00000621 711,666,667 $4,419.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:00am ET $0.00000600 711,666,667 $4,270.00 $4,270.00 $-171.17
(-3.4%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:30am ET $0.00000582 733,676,976 $4,270.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $0.00000578 733,676,976 $4,240.65 $4,240.65 $-50.62
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,240.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,759.35
Total Return: -57.59%
Back to Trent Follower