SOLUSD Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 47 trades in period
-15.76%
Last Year Return
$3,438.22
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$3,482.59
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality
2.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 2.7
30-Day Momentum
14
+1.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.8
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,212
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$3,482.59
Current Value
$3,438.22
Period P&L
$-548.76
Max Drawdown
-66.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
19 /
28
Best Trade
+6.15%
Worst Trade
-6.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$336,486.75
Estimated Fees
$841.22
Gross P&L
$-548.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,389.98
Gross Return
-15.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-39.91%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $3,482.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 4:55am ET | $216.61 | 16 | $3,482.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 12:50pm ET | $219.48 | 16 | $3,528.67 | $3,511.15 |
+$28.61 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $187.35 | 19 | $3,511.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 12, 2025 5:30pm ET | $194.53 | 19 | $3,645.71 | $3,627.82 |
+$116.67 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 1:00pm ET | $202.43 | 18 | $3,627.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 7:35pm ET | $208.22 | 18 | $3,731.58 | $3,713.18 |
+$85.37 (+2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 11:50am ET | $202.09 | 18 | $3,713.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:35pm ET | $200.23 | 18 | $3,679.01 | $3,660.53 |
$-52.66 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 10:55am ET | $192.80 | 19 | $3,660.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 2:35pm ET | $194.24 | 19 | $3,687.87 | $3,669.49 |
+$8.97 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 12:10pm ET | $158.97 | 23 | $3,669.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 5:10pm ET | $162.90 | 23 | $3,760.21 | $3,741.64 |
+$72.14 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:05pm ET | $142.28 | 26 | $3,741.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:20am ET | $143.48 | 26 | $3,773.19 | $3,754.41 |
+$12.77 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:25pm ET | $136.07 | 28 | $3,754.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 6:35pm ET | $138.46 | 28 | $3,820.35 | $3,801.41 |
+$47.01 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:10pm ET | $142.50 | 27 | $3,801.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 5:20pm ET | $143.16 | 27 | $3,819.02 | $3,799.97 |
$-1.44 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:45am ET | $133.33 | 29 | $3,799.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:15pm ET | $139.02 | 29 | $3,962.14 | $3,942.73 |
+$142.76 (+4.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 7, 2025 12:30pm ET | $135.13 | 29 | $3,942.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 7, 2025 4:20pm ET | $135.41 | 29 | $3,950.90 | $3,931.17 |
$-11.56 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:50am ET | $138.22 | 28 | $3,931.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 2:40pm ET | $142.04 | 28 | $4,039.81 | $4,019.89 |
+$88.72 (+2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 3:10pm ET | $141.74 | 28 | $4,019.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 4:00pm ET | $138.03 | 28 | $3,914.67 | $3,894.83 |
$-125.06 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
48m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 9:55am ET | $132.57 | 29 | $3,894.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:45am ET | $128.43 | 29 | $3,773.20 | $3,754.03 |
$-140.80 (-3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
48m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET | $106.31 | 35 | $3,754.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 8:30pm ET | $104.46 | 35 | $3,688.70 | $3,670.09 |
$-83.93 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:45am ET | $80.06 | 46 | $3,670.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:15am ET | $79.08 | 46 | $3,625.17 | $3,606.93 |
$-63.16 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $86.06 | 42 | $3,606.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $85.84 | 42 | $3,597.71 | $3,579.70 |
$-27.23 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $87.73 | 41 | $3,579.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 4:15pm ET | $87.34 | 41 | $3,563.66 | $3,545.80 |
$-33.90 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 8:20pm ET | $82.00 | 43 | $3,545.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 12:15am ET | $81.88 | 43 | $3,540.61 | $3,540.61 |
$-22.91 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:25am ET | $87.40 | 41 | $3,540.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 5:40pm ET | $89.03 | 41 | $3,606.64 | $3,606.64 |
+$48.16 (+1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 9:00am ET | $81.49 | 44 | $3,606.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 8:15pm ET | $84.49 | 44 | $3,739.42 | $3,739.42 |
+$114.41 (+3.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
11.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET | $88.27 | 42 | $3,739.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2026 12:40am ET | $87.64 | 42 | $3,712.73 | $3,712.73 |
$-45.32 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $86.44 | 43 | $3,712.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $86.72 | 43 | $3,724.76 | $3,724.76 |
$-6.57 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $87.12 | 43 | $3,724.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $84.35 | 43 | $3,606.33 | $3,606.33 |
$-136.76 (-3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:50am ET | $89.00 | 41 | $3,606.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 7:15am ET | $89.67 | 41 | $3,633.48 | $3,633.48 |
+$9.05 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $93.08 | 39 | $3,633.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:10pm ET | $91.24 | 39 | $3,561.65 | $3,561.65 |
$-89.81 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 8:20pm ET | $90.00 | 40 | $3,561.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:25pm ET | $89.20 | 40 | $3,529.99 | $3,529.99 |
$-49.39 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 15, 2026 6:35pm ET | $91.58 | 39 | $3,529.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 15, 2026 10:15pm ET | $91.82 | 39 | $3,539.24 | $3,539.24 |
$-8.42 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET | $90.71 | 39 | $3,539.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $90.49 | 39 | $3,530.66 | $3,530.66 |
$-26.26 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET | $86.44 | 41 | $3,530.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $83.95 | 41 | $3,428.96 | $3,428.96 |
$-119.10 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 6:35pm ET | $84.34 | 41 | $3,428.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30pm ET | $84.50 | 41 | $3,435.47 | $3,435.47 |
$-10.66 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $89.91 | 38 | $3,435.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 6:20pm ET | $88.94 | 38 | $3,398.41 | $3,398.41 |
$-54.15 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET | $66.91 | 51 | $3,398.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 7, 2026 9:15pm ET | $65.85 | 51 | $3,344.57 | $3,344.57 |
$-70.70 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 14, 2026 5:40pm ET | $69.95 | 48 | $3,344.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 14, 2026 10:55pm ET | $70.91 | 48 | $3,390.47 | $3,390.47 |
+$29.06 (+1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:05am ET | $70.26 | 48 | $3,390.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 5:35am ET | $69.57 | 48 | $3,357.17 | $3,357.17 |
$-50.17 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $71.45 | 47 | $3,357.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 4:20pm ET | $72.66 | 47 | $3,414.03 | $3,414.03 |
+$39.93 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $75.80 | 45 | $3,414.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 4:40pm ET | $75.30 | 45 | $3,391.51 | $3,391.51 |
$-39.53 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 6:40am ET | $80.96 | 42 | $3,391.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:25am ET | $80.82 | 42 | $3,385.64 | $3,385.64 |
$-22.81 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $80.54 | 42 | $3,385.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 8:45pm ET | $85.49 | 42 | $3,593.72 | $3,593.72 |
+$190.63 (+6.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
9.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2026 12:35am ET | $99.83 | 36 | $3,593.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET | $93.30 | 36 | $3,358.65 | $3,358.65 |
$-252.45 (-6.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
35m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 8:10pm ET | $100.59 | 33 | $3,358.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 12:15am ET | $101.29 | 33 | $3,382.02 | $3,382.02 |
+$6.52 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 6:20pm ET | $100.33 | 34 | $3,382.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:40pm ET | $100.99 | 34 | $3,404.27 | $3,404.27 |
+$5.28 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 5:25am ET | $105.49 | 32 | $3,404.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 7:35am ET | $103.83 | 32 | $3,350.70 | $3,350.70 |
$-70.46 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:55am ET | $104.81 | 32 | $3,350.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 4:00pm ET | $104.84 | 32 | $3,351.66 | $3,351.66 |
$-15.80 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $103.02 | 33 | $3,351.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET | $101.35 | 33 | $3,297.33 | $3,297.33 |
$-70.95 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 10:45am ET | $110.41 | 30 | $3,297.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 5:45pm ET | $113.17 | 30 | $3,379.76 | $3,379.76 |
+$65.73 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
7h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 4:45am ET | $115.63 | 29 | $3,379.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 12:25pm ET | $117.63 | 29 | $3,438.22 | $3,438.22 |
+$41.41 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$3,438.22
Net Profit/Loss:
$-6,561.78
Total Return:
-65.62%