Compendium › Trent Follower › SPXU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPXU
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 20 trades in period

-20.88%
Last Year Return
$5,979.35
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$7,557.36
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:16:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.9/10
Raw Quality 1.9/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 1.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,593
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
3 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-10-21 (28 candles), 2025-10-28 (38 candles), 2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,557.36
Current Value
$5,979.35
Period P&L
$-1,578.01
Max Drawdown
-32.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.61

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
5 / 15
Best Trade
+3.00%
Worst Trade
-4.69%
Avg Trade Return
-1.15%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$276,398.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,578.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,578.01
Gross Return
-20.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,557.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET $55.14 137 $7,554.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $54.48 137 $7,463.71 $7,466.89 $-90.47
(-1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:40am ET $52.21 143 $7,465.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $50.96 143 $7,287.22 $7,288.37 $-178.52
(-2.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET $52.70 138 $7,272.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:05pm ET $54.28 138 $7,490.64 $7,506.41 +$218.04
(+3.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $51.21 146 $7,476.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 1:15pm ET $50.51 146 $7,374.46 $7,404.21 $-102.20
(-1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $49.82 148 $7,372.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $50.45 148 $7,466.60 $7,498.12 +$93.91
(+1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $48.98 153 $7,493.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $48.03 153 $7,348.59 $7,352.77 $-145.35
(-1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $51.18 143 $7,318.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $50.21 143 $7,180.03 $7,214.06 $-138.71
(-1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $51.67 139 $7,182.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $51.03 139 $7,093.17 $7,125.10 $-88.96
(-1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $52.70 135 $7,114.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $51.67 135 $6,975.45 $6,986.05 $-139.05
(-2.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $56.42 123 $6,939.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $56.02 123 $6,890.46 $6,936.85 $-49.20
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $59.78 116 $6,934.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $59.91 116 $6,949.56 $6,951.93 +$15.08
(+0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $57.63 120 $6,915.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $55.35 120 $6,642.00 $6,678.33 $-273.60
(-4.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
13 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $38.70 172 $6,656.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $38.44 172 $6,611.68 $6,633.61 $-44.72
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $37.46 177 $6,630.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $38.23 177 $6,766.71 $6,769.92 +$136.31
(+2.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $40.20 168 $6,753.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $39.85 168 $6,693.96 $6,710.28 $-59.64
(-0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $38.74 173 $6,702.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $37.22 173 $6,439.04 $6,447.30 $-262.98
(-3.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
17.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $39.45 163 $6,430.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $38.82 163 $6,327.66 $6,344.61 $-102.69
(-1.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $38.09 166 $6,322.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $37.34 166 $6,198.44 $6,220.11 $-124.50
(-2.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET $38.24 162 $6,195.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $38.56 162 $6,247.53 $6,272.57 +$52.46
(+0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $37.02 169 $6,256.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $35.28 169 $5,963.16 $5,979.35 $-293.22
(-4.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,979.35
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,020.65
Total Return: -40.21%
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