SQQQ Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 54 trades in period
-39.56%
Last Year Return
$6,531.37
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$10,806.97
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
4.3/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.2
30-Day Momentum
1
-11.7%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,832
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,806.97
Current Value
$6,531.37
Period P&L
$-4,275.62
Max Drawdown
-19.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
17 /
37
Best Trade
+7.97%
Worst Trade
-8.75%
Avg Trade Return
-0.90%
Avg Hold Time
10.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$986,984.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,275.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,275.62
Gross Return
-39.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-39.56%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,806.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $80.60 | 134 | $10,800.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 11:30am ET | $78.50 | 134 | $10,519.07 | $10,525.66 |
$-281.33 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:05am ET | $75.10 | 140 | $10,514.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $76.68 | 140 | $10,734.50 | $10,746.16 |
+$220.50 (+2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $78.33 | 137 | $10,730.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 11:40am ET | $76.35 | 137 | $10,460.02 | $10,475.66 |
$-270.51 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET | $77.05 | 135 | $10,401.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 2:50pm ET | $74.85 | 135 | $10,104.08 | $10,177.98 |
$-297.68 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $68.17 | 149 | $10,156.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $68.18 | 149 | $10,158.45 | $10,179.84 |
+$1.86 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET | $69.36 | 146 | $10,126.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 1:35pm ET | $70.56 | 146 | $10,301.91 | $10,355.33 |
+$175.49 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $70.85 | 146 | $10,344.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:35pm ET | $72.10 | 146 | $10,526.60 | $10,537.83 |
+$182.50 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $76.30 | 138 | $10,529.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:40am ET | $76.05 | 138 | $10,494.90 | $10,503.40 |
$-34.43 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET | $76.24 | 137 | $10,444.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 11:35am ET | $80.29 | 137 | $10,999.72 | $11,058.24 |
+$554.84 (+5.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $75.77 | 145 | $10,986.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 11:35am ET | $73.67 | 145 | $10,681.43 | $10,753.01 |
$-305.22 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:55am ET | $68.88 | 156 | $10,744.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 12:30pm ET | $67.22 | 156 | $10,486.34 | $10,494.85 |
$-258.16 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $67.04 | 156 | $10,457.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 12:50pm ET | $66.48 | 156 | $10,370.47 | $10,407.86 |
$-86.99 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $67.27 | 154 | $10,359.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:15pm ET | $67.81 | 154 | $10,442.88 | $10,491.30 |
+$83.44 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.17 | 151 | $10,444.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $69.95 | 151 | $10,562.56 | $10,609.01 |
+$117.70 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $64.85 | 163 | $10,570.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:05pm ET | $65.09 | 163 | $10,609.67 | $10,648.13 |
+$39.12 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET | $66.70 | 159 | $10,605.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $68.31 | 159 | $10,862.01 | $10,904.83 |
+$256.71 (+2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $74.32 | 146 | $10,850.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $73.01 | 146 | $10,660.19 | $10,714.30 |
$-190.53 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $75.33 | 142 | $10,696.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $73.06 | 142 | $10,374.48 | $10,392.14 |
$-322.16 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $73.49 | 141 | $10,362.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $72.53 | 141 | $10,226.73 | $10,256.78 |
$-135.36 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $70.45 | 145 | $10,215.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $70.56 | 145 | $10,230.66 | $10,272.19 |
+$15.41 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.78 | 139 | $10,255.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $71.47 | 139 | $9,934.33 | $9,951.10 |
$-321.09 (-3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
45m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $75.02 | 132 | $9,902.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $73.34 | 132 | $9,680.88 | $9,729.34 |
$-221.76 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.35 | 129 | $9,720.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $73.76 | 129 | $9,515.04 | $9,524.23 |
$-205.11 (-2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $73.34 | 129 | $9,460.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 1:05pm ET | $73.00 | 129 | $9,417.00 | $9,480.37 |
$-43.86 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.46 | 122 | $9,450.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 1:55pm ET | $76.93 | 122 | $9,385.44 | $9,415.69 |
$-64.68 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $79.68 | 118 | $9,402.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $77.67 | 118 | $9,165.06 | $9,178.50 |
$-237.19 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.14 | 115 | $9,100.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.44 | 115 | $9,825.60 | $9,903.58 |
+$725.08 (+8.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.43 | 121 | $9,853.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $77.63 | 121 | $9,393.23 | $9,443.78 |
$-459.80 (-4.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $79.01 | 119 | $9,402.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $77.64 | 119 | $9,239.16 | $9,280.75 |
$-163.03 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $56.80 | 163 | $9,258.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.03 | 163 | $8,807.15 | $8,829.45 |
$-451.30 (-4.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
19.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $54.69 | 161 | $8,805.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $54.39 | 161 | $8,756.77 | $8,781.13 |
$-48.32 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $43.81 | 200 | $8,761.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 2:05pm ET | $44.35 | 200 | $8,869.00 | $8,888.15 |
+$107.02 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.79 | 207 | $8,857.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 1:10pm ET | $42.46 | 207 | $8,789.28 | $8,819.90 |
$-68.25 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $38.69 | 227 | $8,782.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $37.85 | 227 | $8,591.95 | $8,629.22 |
$-190.68 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $41.26 | 209 | $8,622.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.01 | 209 | $8,571.09 | $8,578.01 |
$-51.21 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $42.74 | 200 | $8,549.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $43.36 | 200 | $8,672.00 | $8,701.01 |
+$123.00 (+1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 11:50am ET | $37.92 | 229 | $8,683.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.58 | 229 | $8,606.96 | $8,624.30 |
$-76.71 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
21.7h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.31 | 213 | $8,586.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $39.70 | 213 | $8,456.08 | $8,494.35 |
$-129.95 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $41.44 | 204 | $8,453.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.81 | 204 | $7,714.26 | $7,754.85 |
$-739.50 (-8.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.59 | 186 | $7,735.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $39.89 | 186 | $7,419.52 | $7,438.63 |
$-316.22 (-4.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.73 | 197 | $7,432.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:30pm ET | $37.40 | 197 | $7,367.80 | $7,373.60 |
$-65.03 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
6h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.70 | 185 | $7,344.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 12:30pm ET | $39.82 | 185 | $7,366.70 | $7,395.80 |
+$22.20 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.25 | 188 | $7,379.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.03 | 188 | $7,336.70 | $7,353.50 |
$-42.30 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $40.66 | 180 | $7,318.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $42.06 | 180 | $7,571.70 | $7,606.40 |
+$252.90 (+3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.62 | 178 | $7,586.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $43.28 | 178 | $7,703.84 | $7,723.88 |
+$117.48 (+1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.4h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $45.90 | 168 | $7,711.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $45.67 | 168 | $7,672.54 | $7,685.24 |
$-38.64 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $47.88 | 160 | $7,661.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $47.83 | 160 | $7,653.60 | $7,677.24 |
$-8.00 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.29 | 195 | $7,661.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $38.00 | 195 | $7,410.00 | $7,425.67 |
$-251.57 (-3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.88 | 196 | $7,424.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $38.19 | 196 | $7,484.26 | $7,485.45 |
+$59.78 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $40.28 | 185 | $7,450.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 12:15pm ET | $39.80 | 185 | $7,362.98 | $7,397.56 |
$-87.89 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.08 | 184 | $7,374.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET | $39.26 | 184 | $7,222.92 | $7,245.76 |
$-151.80 (-2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.04 | 180 | $7,207.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $39.51 | 180 | $7,112.70 | $7,151.26 |
$-94.50 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.74 | 175 | $7,129.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $39.67 | 175 | $6,942.25 | $6,964.01 |
$-187.25 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $41.20 | 169 | $6,962.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.64 | 169 | $6,530.16 | $6,531.37 |
$-432.64 (-6.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,531.37
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,468.63
Total Return:
-34.69%