Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:49:54

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 40.6/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 30.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,121
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
253 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,310.23
Current Value
$11,951.10
Period P&L
$640.88
Max Drawdown
-3.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+5.48%
Worst Trade
-2.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
10.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$229,194.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$640.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$640.88
Gross Return
+5.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 253 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $11,310.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $500.78 22 $11,017.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:15am ET $528.22 22 $11,620.84 $11,914.01 +$603.79
(+5.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $566.54 21 $11,897.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $557.03 21 $11,697.63 $11,714.30 $-199.71
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $627.48 18 $11,294.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $618.48 18 $11,132.64 $11,552.39 $-161.91
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $504.98 22 $11,109.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $501.63 22 $11,035.86 $11,478.69 $-73.70
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
5 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $466.90 24 $11,205.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $482.22 24 $11,573.28 $11,846.25 +$367.56
(+3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
23.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET $481.59 24 $11,558.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $487.12 24 $11,690.88 $11,978.97 +$132.72
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $582.04 20 $11,640.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $570.00 20 $11,400.00 $11,738.07 $-240.90
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $581.94 20 $11,638.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $574.82 20 $11,496.40 $11,595.67 $-142.40
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $608.60 19 $11,563.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:55pm ET $610.78 19 $11,604.73 $11,637.00 +$41.33
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET $630.62 18 $11,351.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $648.07 18 $11,665.26 $11,951.10 +$314.10
(+2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,951.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,951.10
Total Return: +19.51%
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