Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:34

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 12%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.7/35
Total Return
34.4/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
0.1/10
Raw Quality 116.4/100
× Confidence 0.12 = 14.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (12%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,059
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,935.68
Current Value
$8,801.63
Period P&L
$-1,134.05
Max Drawdown
-3.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.05

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
1 / 7
Best Trade
+1.26%
Worst Trade
-3.77%
Avg Trade Return
-1.51%
Avg Hold Time
3.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$147,052.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,134.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,134.05
Gross Return
-11.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,935.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:45am ET $119.91 82 $9,832.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 12:55pm ET $118.82 82 $9,743.24 $9,846.71 $-88.97
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $141.92 69 $9,792.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $139.72 69 $9,640.68 $9,694.91 $-151.80
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $159.34 60 $9,560.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:10am ET $153.33 60 $9,199.80 $9,334.31 $-360.60
(-3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $176.32 52 $9,168.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $173.17 52 $9,004.84 $9,170.51 $-163.80
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $166.54 55 $9,159.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $161.31 55 $8,872.05 $8,882.58 $-287.93
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $142.39 62 $8,828.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $144.18 62 $8,939.16 $8,993.56 +$110.98
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $158.54 56 $8,878.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $157.48 56 $8,818.86 $8,934.18 $-59.38
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $161.33 55 $8,873.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $158.92 55 $8,740.60 $8,801.63 $-132.55
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,801.63
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,198.37
Total Return: -11.98%
Back to Trent Follower