XRPUSD Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 55 trades in period
-24.47%
Last Year Return
$5,520.22
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$6,133.97
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
4.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.7
30-Day Momentum
7
-9.6%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,215
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$6,133.97
Current Value
$5,520.22
Period P&L
$-1,500.83
Max Drawdown
-50.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
55
Winners / Losers
20 /
35
Best Trade
+15.57%
Worst Trade
-7.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
3.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$621,730.46
Estimated Fees
$1,554.33
Gross P&L
$-1,500.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,055.16
Gross Return
-24.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-49.81%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 55 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $6,133.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 8:45pm ET | $2.40 | 2,553 | $6,134.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:40pm ET | $2.33 | 2,553 | $5,952.77 | $5,922.55 |
$-211.45 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
54m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:25pm ET | $2.43 | 2,433 | $5,922.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:15pm ET | $2.38 | 2,433 | $5,780.69 | $5,751.43 |
$-171.12 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
48m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 12, 2025 11:05am ET | $2.48 | 2,323 | $5,751.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 12, 2025 2:50pm ET | $2.51 | 2,323 | $5,826.46 | $5,797.52 |
+$46.08 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 3:45pm ET | $2.55 | 2,275 | $5,797.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 5:45pm ET | $2.49 | 2,275 | $5,666.23 | $5,637.57 |
$-159.95 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 11:20am ET | $2.52 | 2,240 | $5,637.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 2:05pm ET | $2.49 | 2,240 | $5,579.33 | $5,551.28 |
$-86.28 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:45am ET | $2.26 | 2,451 | $5,551.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 4:45pm ET | $2.34 | 2,451 | $5,734.64 | $5,706.42 |
+$155.14 (+3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 9, 2025 7:50pm ET | $2.43 | 2,352 | $5,706.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 1:20am ET | $2.45 | 2,352 | $5,753.93 | $5,725.28 |
+$18.86 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:45pm ET | $2.50 | 2,286 | $5,725.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 2:50am ET | $2.49 | 2,286 | $5,688.51 | $5,659.97 |
$-65.31 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 12:20pm ET | $1.99 | 2,841 | $5,659.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 1:15pm ET | $1.93 | 2,841 | $5,488.06 | $5,460.19 |
$-199.78 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
54m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 22, 2025 9:30pm ET | $2.03 | 2,694 | $5,460.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 23, 2025 1:20am ET | $2.04 | 2,694 | $5,500.32 | $5,472.92 |
+$12.73 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:20pm ET | $2.16 | 2,538 | $5,472.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 5:40pm ET | $2.24 | 2,538 | $5,677.20 | $5,649.33 |
+$176.40 (+3.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:05am ET | $2.11 | 2,679 | $5,649.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:15pm ET | $2.16 | 2,679 | $5,788.62 | $5,760.03 |
+$110.70 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 7, 2025 1:15pm ET | $2.11 | 2,729 | $5,760.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 7, 2025 3:00pm ET | $2.08 | 2,729 | $5,675.96 | $5,647.37 |
$-112.65 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 11:10am ET | $2.15 | 2,626 | $5,647.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 2:10pm ET | $2.14 | 2,626 | $5,612.24 | $5,584.09 |
$-63.29 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:10am ET | $1.98 | 2,817 | $5,584.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $1.91 | 2,817 | $5,388.61 | $5,361.18 |
$-222.91 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
42m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:45pm ET | $1.85 | 2,895 | $5,361.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 6:05am ET | $1.86 | 2,895 | $5,394.99 | $5,368.10 |
+$6.93 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1.98 | 2,713 | $5,368.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.98 | 2,713 | $5,374.32 | $5,347.46 |
$-20.64 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $2.26 | 2,369 | $5,347.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $2.32 | 2,369 | $5,508.35 | $5,481.21 |
+$133.75 (+3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $1.97 | 2,779 | $5,481.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 6:05pm ET | $1.96 | 2,779 | $5,451.97 | $5,424.64 |
$-56.57 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET | $1.65 | 3,285 | $5,424.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 11:30pm ET | $1.66 | 3,285 | $5,458.48 | $5,431.27 |
+$6.63 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.62 | 3,343 | $5,431.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET | $1.58 | 3,343 | $5,291.88 | $5,265.07 |
$-166.20 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.25 | 4,224 | $5,265.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:00pm ET | $1.19 | 4,224 | $5,040.71 | $5,014.95 |
$-250.12 (-4.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 8:05pm ET | $1.24 | 4,052 | $5,014.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:15am ET | $1.29 | 4,052 | $5,223.62 | $5,198.02 |
+$183.07 (+4.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 5:15am ET | $1.35 | 3,850 | $5,198.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1.48 | 3,850 | $5,713.20 | $5,685.93 |
+$487.90 (+9.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 9:00am ET | $1.35 | 4,216 | $5,685.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1.32 | 4,216 | $5,574.67 | $5,574.67 |
$-139.41 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET | $1.43 | 3,912 | $5,574.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2026 12:30am ET | $1.41 | 3,912 | $5,534.73 | $5,534.73 |
$-67.72 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $1.40 | 3,954 | $5,534.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $1.39 | 3,954 | $5,478.98 | $5,478.98 |
$-83.29 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 4:05am ET | $1.41 | 3,891 | $5,478.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 6:40am ET | $1.40 | 3,891 | $5,438.04 | $5,438.04 |
$-68.23 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $1.45 | 3,738 | $5,438.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1.44 | 3,738 | $5,386.31 | $5,386.31 |
$-78.79 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $1.44 | 3,735 | $5,386.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1.41 | 3,735 | $5,272.36 | $5,272.36 |
$-140.60 (-2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET | $1.41 | 3,730 | $5,272.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $1.44 | 3,730 | $5,356.24 | $5,356.24 |
+$57.31 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 6:50pm ET | $1.36 | 3,926 | $5,356.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:35pm ET | $1.37 | 3,926 | $5,380.54 | $5,380.54 |
$-2.54 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET | $1.51 | 3,572 | $5,380.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1.49 | 3,572 | $5,307.39 | $5,307.39 |
$-99.87 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1.49 | 3,556 | $5,307.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 10, 2026 4:15pm ET | $1.48 | 3,556 | $5,250.59 | $5,250.59 |
$-83.19 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1.52 | 3,445 | $5,250.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 4:20pm ET | $1.50 | 3,445 | $5,175.45 | $5,175.45 |
$-101.20 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 7, 2026 5:05am ET | $1.17 | 4,439 | $5,175.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 7, 2026 6:35am ET | $1.14 | 4,439 | $5,054.96 | $5,054.96 |
$-146.06 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 14, 2026 5:50pm ET | $1.17 | 4,308 | $5,054.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 14, 2026 10:55pm ET | $1.18 | 4,308 | $5,091.80 | $5,091.80 |
+$11.47 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 7:50am ET | $1.23 | 4,146 | $5,091.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $1.28 | 4,146 | $5,286.23 | $5,286.23 |
+$168.48 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.7h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $1.06 | 5,001 | $5,286.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 7:05pm ET | $1.09 | 5,001 | $5,474.77 | $5,474.77 |
+$161.64 (+3.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 4:40am ET | $1.15 | 4,765 | $5,474.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1.33 | 4,765 | $6,316.93 | $6,316.93 |
+$812.68 (+15.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1.34 | 4,705 | $6,316.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1.27 | 4,705 | $5,975.84 | $5,975.84 |
$-371.83 (-5.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
30m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 4:30am ET | $1.36 | 4,405 | $5,975.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 7:50am ET | $1.37 | 4,405 | $6,013.77 | $6,013.77 |
+$7.95 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 6:10pm ET | $1.43 | 4,217 | $6,013.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2026 12:40am ET | $1.65 | 4,217 | $6,950.23 | $6,950.23 |
+$904.05 (+15.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.5h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2026 12:45am ET | $1.64 | 4,228 | $6,950.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET | $1.52 | 4,228 | $6,434.34 | $6,434.34 |
$-549.35 (-7.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
25m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $1.55 | 4,153 | $6,434.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $1.50 | 4,153 | $6,223.15 | $6,223.15 |
$-242.83 (-3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
30m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 10:25pm ET | $1.54 | 4,041 | $6,223.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 12:00am ET | $1.51 | 4,041 | $6,106.64 | $6,106.64 |
$-147.34 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.43 | 4,258 | $6,106.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 5:40pm ET | $1.47 | 4,258 | $6,245.68 | $6,245.68 |
+$108.15 (+2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.9h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.39 | 4,496 | $6,245.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET | $1.37 | 4,496 | $6,158.23 | $6,158.23 |
$-118.46 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1.48 | 4,175 | $6,158.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 5:05pm ET | $1.45 | 4,175 | $6,065.05 | $6,065.05 |
$-123.74 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:05am ET | $1.45 | 4,176 | $6,065.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.40 | 4,176 | $5,859.74 | $5,859.74 |
$-235.13 (-3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
40m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $1.38 | 4,261 | $5,859.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 6:30pm ET | $1.40 | 4,261 | $5,962.30 | $5,962.30 |
+$73.01 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.9h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 4:50am ET | $1.48 | 4,019 | $5,962.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.48 | 4,019 | $5,959.33 | $5,959.33 |
$-32.78 (-0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 6:15pm ET | $1.57 | 3,787 | $5,959.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 7:40pm ET | $1.54 | 3,787 | $5,815.34 | $5,815.34 |
$-173.42 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.59 | 3,662 | $5,815.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.54 | 3,662 | $5,651.08 | $5,651.08 |
$-192.93 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
35m held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 12:15am ET | $1.65 | 3,428 | $5,651.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:50am ET | $1.61 | 3,428 | $5,520.22 | $5,520.22 |
$-158.78 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,520.22
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,479.78
Total Return:
-44.80%