Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:23:58

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 23.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.4

30-Day Momentum

25
+3.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.0 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,161.84
Current Value
$11,988.31
Period P&L
$-173.54
Max Drawdown
-21.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+4.27%
Worst Trade
-6.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
12h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$346,433.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-173.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$-173.54
Gross Return
-1.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $12,161.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $544.37 22 $11,976.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $507.75 22 $11,170.50 $11,356.21 $-805.64
(-6.7%)
TREND_BREAK
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $536.92 21 $11,275.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $554.11 21 $11,636.31 $11,717.29 +$361.08
(+3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $534.90 21 $11,232.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $557.71 21 $11,711.91 $12,196.41 +$479.12
(+4.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $537.96 22 $11,835.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $550.81 22 $12,117.82 $12,479.11 +$282.70
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $562.40 22 $12,372.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $554.69 22 $12,203.18 $12,309.49 $-169.62
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $517.24 23 $11,896.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 12:50pm ET $509.00 23 $11,707.00 $12,119.97 $-189.52
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 2:40pm ET $447.73 27 $12,088.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $434.18 27 $11,722.86 $11,754.12 $-365.85
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $509.48 23 $11,717.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $485.93 23 $11,176.39 $11,212.58 $-541.54
(-4.6%)
TREND_BREAK
40m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $504.00 22 $11,088.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $524.11 22 $11,530.42 $11,655.00 +$442.42
(+4.0%)
TREND_BREAK
6.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $488.80 23 $11,242.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $486.67 23 $11,193.39 $11,605.99 $-49.01
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:40am ET $510.86 22 $11,238.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $511.32 22 $11,249.07 $11,616.14 +$10.15
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $477.38 24 $11,457.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $475.04 24 $11,400.96 $11,559.98 $-56.16
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:15am ET $473.64 24 $11,367.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $471.94 24 $11,326.53 $11,519.09 $-40.89
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $519.12 22 $11,420.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $520.93 22 $11,460.46 $11,558.91 +$39.82
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $583.88 19 $11,093.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $606.48 19 $11,523.12 $11,988.31 +$429.40
(+3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,988.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,988.31
Total Return: +19.88%
Back to Trent Follower