Compendium › Trent Follower › ARKK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARKK
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+0.59%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,756.03
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$8,705.03
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:33:28

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 7.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,705.03
Current Value
$8,756.03
Period P&L
$51.00
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
2.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
3 / 0
Best Trade
+0.30%
Worst Trade
+0.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
10.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$51,982.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$51.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$51.00
Gross Return
+0.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,705.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:50am ET $82.50 105 $8,661.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 2:20pm ET $82.56 105 $8,668.80 $8,711.85 +$6.82
(+0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $85.66 101 $8,651.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $85.84 101 $8,669.84 $8,730.03 +$18.18
(+0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:10am ET $86.52 100 $8,652.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $86.78 100 $8,678.00 $8,756.03 +$26.00
(+0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,756.03
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,243.97
Total Return: -12.44%
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