Compendium › Trent Follower › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 6 trades in period

+3.65%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,060.64
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$11,636.27
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:16

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 23.3/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 21.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,636.27
Current Value
$12,060.64
Period P&L
$424.40
Max Drawdown
-15.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+3.88%
Worst Trade
-1.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
4.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$142,325.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$424.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$424.40
Gross Return
+3.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $11,636.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $374.00 31 $11,594.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $375.80 31 $11,649.69 $11,691.93 +$55.69
(+0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
4h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:00am ET $385.14 30 $11,554.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $388.99 30 $11,669.70 $11,807.43 +$115.50
(+1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $402.92 29 $11,684.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $418.57 29 $12,138.39 $12,261.28 +$453.85
(+3.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $365.93 33 $12,075.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:55pm ET $368.05 33 $12,145.65 $12,331.24 +$69.96
(+0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $368.92 33 $12,174.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $365.77 33 $12,070.41 $12,227.13 $-104.11
(-0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $359.63 33 $11,867.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $354.58 33 $11,701.14 $12,060.64 $-166.49
(-1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,060.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,060.64
Total Return: +20.61%
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