Compendium › Trent Follower › BTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-0.47%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,751.97
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$7,516.28
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:13

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 2.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,548
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,516.28
Current Value
$7,751.97
Period P&L
$-35.53
Max Drawdown
-23.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+1.50%
Worst Trade
-1.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
4.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$46,332.80
Estimated Fees
$115.83
Gross P&L
$-35.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-151.36
Gross Return
-0.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.01%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,516.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:25am ET $67,146.60 0 $7,671.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 3:15pm ET $68,156.50 0 $7,787.06 $7,787.06 +$76.74
(+1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 4:55am ET $78,634.10 0 $7,787.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 7:20am ET $77,426.90 0 $7,667.51 $7,667.51 $-158.18
(-1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 5:40am ET $84,890.50 0 $7,667.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:50pm ET $85,825.60 0 $7,751.97 $7,751.97 +$45.91
(+1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
8.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,751.97
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,248.03
Total Return: -22.48%
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