Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:31

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.6/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 28.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 28.3

30-Day Momentum

63
+17.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
3.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.2 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,443.17
Current Value
$16,860.01
Period P&L
$2,416.88
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
8 / 9
Best Trade
+15.02%
Worst Trade
-3.80%
Avg Trade Return
+1.02%
Avg Hold Time
11.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$488,687.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,416.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,416.88
Gross Return
+16.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $14,443.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:40am ET $149.08 96 $14,311.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:25pm ET $147.28 96 $14,138.88 $14,270.33 $-172.80
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:40am ET $151.20 94 $14,212.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $161.64 94 $15,194.16 $15,251.69 +$981.36
(+6.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $166.41 91 $15,143.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:55am ET $160.09 91 $14,568.19 $14,676.12 $-575.57
(-3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $166.03 88 $14,610.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:50am ET $160.97 88 $14,165.36 $14,230.84 $-445.28
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $173.90 81 $14,085.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $178.72 81 $14,476.32 $14,621.26 +$390.42
(+2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $164.34 88 $14,461.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $161.61 88 $14,221.68 $14,381.02 $-240.24
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 1:35pm ET $147.64 97 $14,321.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $144.02 97 $13,969.70 $14,029.45 $-351.57
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:25am ET $152.33 92 $14,014.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $151.01 92 $13,892.46 $13,907.55 $-121.90
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $154.22 90 $13,879.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:10am ET $149.06 90 $13,415.40 $13,443.15 $-464.40
(-3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
18.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET $153.22 87 $13,330.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 1:40pm ET $159.82 87 $13,904.34 $14,017.35 +$574.20
(+4.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $182.00 77 $14,014.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $186.74 77 $14,379.36 $14,382.71 +$365.36
(+2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET $187.41 76 $14,243.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:55pm ET $191.21 76 $14,531.96 $14,671.51 +$288.80
(+2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $186.62 78 $14,556.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $181.00 78 $14,118.00 $14,233.15 $-438.36
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
20.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $185.08 76 $14,066.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $192.10 76 $14,599.81 $14,766.88 +$533.73
(+3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $179.13 82 $14,688.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:15pm ET $177.31 82 $14,539.42 $14,617.98 $-148.90
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $188.84 77 $14,540.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:55pm ET $189.37 77 $14,581.11 $14,658.41 +$40.43
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET $170.40 86 $14,654.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $196.00 86 $16,856.00 $16,860.01 +$2,201.60
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,860.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,860.01
Total Return: +68.60%
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