Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:24:17

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 25.3/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 20.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,706.64
Current Value
$11,138.59
Period P&L
$1,431.94
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+11.91%
Worst Trade
-1.95%
Avg Trade Return
+1.46%
Avg Hold Time
8.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$202,013.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,431.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,431.94
Gross Return
+14.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,706.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $155.24 62 $9,625.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:40pm ET $156.65 62 $9,712.30 $9,793.76 +$87.11
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $162.70 60 $9,761.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $164.30 60 $9,858.00 $9,890.06 +$96.30
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 10:45am ET $170.17 58 $9,869.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $170.75 58 $9,903.51 $9,923.71 +$33.65
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $168.95 58 $9,799.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $175.02 58 $10,151.16 $10,275.77 +$352.06
(+3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $190.53 53 $10,098.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $188.75 53 $10,003.75 $10,181.43 $-94.34
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $191.15 53 $10,130.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $191.01 53 $10,123.53 $10,174.01 $-7.42
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $200.30 50 $10,015.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:35am ET $196.39 50 $9,819.71 $9,978.72 $-195.29
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
19.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:05am ET $197.66 50 $9,883.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:35pm ET $197.90 50 $9,895.25 $9,990.97 +$12.25
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $231.50 43 $9,954.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $259.07 43 $11,139.92 $11,176.39 +$1,185.42
(+11.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $265.56 42 $11,153.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $264.66 42 $11,115.72 $11,138.59 $-37.80
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,138.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,138.59
Total Return: +11.39%
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