Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:15:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 7.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 7.4

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.4%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,604.66
Current Value
$9,799.66
Period P&L
$-805.01
Max Drawdown
-41.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
6 / 11
Best Trade
+6.31%
Worst Trade
-4.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
4.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$347,393.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-805.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-805.01
Gross Return
-7.59%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,604.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET $97.89 108 $10,572.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $96.93 108 $10,468.44 $10,500.45 $-104.22
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET $104.55 100 $10,455.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $107.79 100 $10,778.50 $10,823.95 +$323.50
(+3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:45am ET $117.58 92 $10,817.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $116.23 92 $10,693.16 $10,699.75 $-124.20
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:55am ET $116.13 92 $10,683.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $116.30 92 $10,700.04 $10,715.83 +$16.08
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $116.22 92 $10,692.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:50am ET $112.88 92 $10,384.96 $10,408.09 $-307.74
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $105.43 98 $10,331.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $106.85 98 $10,470.81 $10,547.25 +$139.16
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $99.12 106 $10,506.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $94.94 106 $10,064.17 $10,104.70 $-442.55
(-4.2%)
TREND_BREAK
50m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:05am ET $90.03 112 $10,083.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:10pm ET $91.13 112 $10,206.56 $10,227.90 +$123.20
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET $93.97 108 $10,148.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $93.29 108 $10,075.32 $10,154.46 $-73.44
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $96.98 104 $10,086.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 10:35am ET $93.73 104 $9,747.92 $9,816.10 $-338.36
(-3.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:35am ET $99.79 98 $9,779.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 2:05pm ET $98.68 98 $9,670.64 $9,707.32 $-108.78
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET $96.04 101 $9,700.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 1:35pm ET $96.42 101 $9,738.42 $9,745.69 +$38.37
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $101.13 96 $9,708.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 2:50pm ET $107.51 96 $10,321.44 $10,358.65 +$612.96
(+6.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:35am ET $110.26 93 $10,254.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $110.17 93 $10,245.81 $10,350.06 $-8.59
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
22.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:25am ET $107.17 96 $10,287.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $104.97 96 $10,077.11 $10,139.33 $-210.73
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $109.90 92 $10,110.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $107.35 92 $9,876.20 $9,904.73 $-234.60
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $125.06 79 $9,879.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $123.73 79 $9,774.67 $9,799.66 $-105.07
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,799.66
Net Profit/Loss: $-200.34
Total Return: -2.00%
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