Compendium › Trent Follower › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 5 trades in period

+0.43%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,424.41
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$11,375.13
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:44:41

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.0/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 34.2/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 25.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,375.13
Current Value
$11,424.41
Period P&L
$49.28
Max Drawdown
-4.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+1.05%
Worst Trade
-1.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
7.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$112,394.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$49.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$49.28
Gross Return
+0.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $11,375.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:15am ET $267.90 42 $11,252.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $269.65 42 $11,325.51 $11,448.63 +$73.50
(+0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $217.22 52 $11,295.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $214.82 52 $11,170.64 $11,323.83 $-124.80
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
20.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:15am ET $214.64 52 $11,161.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:00pm ET $214.70 52 $11,164.14 $11,326.69 +$2.86
(+0.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:10am ET $224.66 50 $11,233.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $227.01 50 $11,350.75 $11,444.44 +$117.75
(+1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
4h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $249.58 45 $11,231.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:40pm ET $249.13 45 $11,211.07 $11,424.41 $-20.03
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,424.41
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,424.41
Total Return: +14.24%
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