Compendium › Trent Follower › ISRG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ISRG
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 6 trades in period

-1.54%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,401.75
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,564.74
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:46

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
5.8/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 17.7/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 13.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,564.74
Current Value
$10,401.75
Period P&L
$-162.98
Max Drawdown
-8.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+1.49%
Worst Trade
-1.70%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
19.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$125,276.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-162.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-162.98
Gross Return
-1.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,564.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET $419.22 25 $10,480.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $422.46 25 $10,561.50 $10,645.73 +$81.00
(+0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $404.58 26 $10,519.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $398.92 26 $10,371.92 $10,498.44 $-147.29
(-1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $351.89 29 $10,204.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $357.12 29 $10,356.48 $10,650.11 +$151.67
(+1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
5h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $371.06 28 $10,389.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $372.82 28 $10,438.96 $10,699.39 +$49.28
(+0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $380.45 28 $10,652.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $376.16 28 $10,532.48 $10,579.27 $-120.12
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $374.04 28 $10,473.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $367.70 28 $10,295.60 $10,401.75 $-177.52
(-1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,401.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$401.75
Total Return: +4.02%
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