Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:13

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
9.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 15.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 15.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,063
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,295.94
Current Value
$11,231.06
Period P&L
$1,935.10
Max Drawdown
-41.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
5 / 10
Best Trade
+15.54%
Worst Trade
-4.36%
Avg Trade Return
+1.45%
Avg Hold Time
16.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$345,689.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,935.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,935.10
Gross Return
+20.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,295.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET $5.31 1,750 $9,292.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $6.14 1,750 $10,736.25 $10,739.71 +$1,443.75
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:50am ET $6.86 1,566 $10,739.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:35am ET $6.72 1,566 $10,515.69 $10,516.24 $-223.47
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $6.39 1,644 $10,513.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $6.39 1,644 $10,505.16 $10,508.02 $-8.22
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $5.01 2,097 $10,505.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 2:35pm ET $5.78 2,097 $12,110.18 $12,112.22 +$1,604.20
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $6.78 1,786 $12,108.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET $7.27 1,786 $12,982.43 $12,985.76 +$873.53
(+7.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $7.46 1,740 $12,980.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:45am ET $7.32 1,740 $12,732.10 $12,737.46 $-248.30
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $6.54 1,947 $12,731.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:05am ET $6.37 1,947 $12,402.39 $12,408.22 $-329.24
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
19.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $6.65 1,865 $12,402.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $6.36 1,865 $11,861.40 $11,867.56 $-540.66
(-4.4%)
TREND_BREAK
18.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $7.57 1,567 $11,860.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:50am ET $7.76 1,567 $12,152.09 $12,159.33 +$291.78
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $7.88 1,544 $12,159.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $7.72 1,544 $11,919.68 $11,920.01 $-239.32
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
19.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:00am ET $7.85 1,518 $11,916.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 11:45am ET $7.51 1,518 $11,407.77 $11,411.48 $-508.53
(-4.3%)
TREND_BREAK
45m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $7.05 1,619 $11,410.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $6.95 1,619 $11,260.14 $11,260.91 $-150.57
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET $5.20 2,163 $11,258.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $5.18 2,163 $11,193.53 $11,196.02 $-64.89
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET $4.90 2,284 $11,191.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:35am ET $4.73 2,284 $10,803.09 $10,807.51 $-388.51
(-3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
50m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $4.21 2,567 $10,807.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $4.38 2,567 $11,230.63 $11,231.06 +$423.55
(+3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,231.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,231.06
Total Return: +12.31%
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