Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:29:39

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 2.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

2
-2.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,550
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$3,056.73
Current Value
$3,562.21
Period P&L
$-45.16
Max Drawdown
-63.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+3.78%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
3.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$76,659.68
Estimated Fees
$191.65
Gross P&L
$-45.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-236.81
Gross Return
-1.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.75%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $3,056.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:20am ET $8.30 411 $3,415.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $8.27 411 $3,399.60 $3,399.60 $-33.17
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:00pm ET $9.35 364 $3,399.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2026 12:55am ET $9.45 364 $3,437.59 $3,437.59 +$20.90
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 4:40pm ET $10.37 332 $3,437.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 7:45pm ET $10.54 332 $3,495.96 $3,495.96 +$41.03
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:20am ET $11.29 310 $3,495.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 6:30am ET $11.38 310 $3,523.58 $3,523.58 +$10.08
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 5:30pm ET $12.06 292 $3,523.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 7:55pm ET $11.99 292 $3,501.13 $3,501.13 $-40.01
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:45am ET $11.72 299 $3,501.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 6:30pm ET $11.85 299 $3,539.60 $3,539.60 +$20.87
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
7.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2026 4:45pm ET $12.94 274 $3,539.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 6, 2026 9:15pm ET $13.08 274 $3,579.00 $3,579.00 +$21.60
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 7, 2026 1:45am ET $13.54 264 $3,579.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 7, 2026 3:25am ET $13.23 264 $3,498.62 $3,498.62 $-98.08
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $11.88 295 $3,498.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $11.65 295 $3,433.28 $3,433.28 $-82.67
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 5:35am ET $13.05 263 $3,433.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $13.04 263 $3,432.51 $3,432.51 $-17.93
(-0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:30am ET $12.72 270 $3,432.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 6:10pm ET $13.20 270 $3,562.21 $3,562.21 +$112.22
(+3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
7.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,562.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,437.79
Total Return: -64.38%
Back to Trent Follower