Compendium › Trent Follower › MSFT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MSFT
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+7.40%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,898.21
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$9,216.25
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

1
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.0/10
Raw Quality 2.0/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 1.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,216.25
Current Value
$9,898.21
Period P&L
$681.96
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
1.81

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
3 / 0
Best Trade
+4.11%
Worst Trade
+0.79%
Avg Trade Return
+2.45%
Avg Hold Time
5.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$56,461.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$681.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$681.96
Gross Return
+7.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,216.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:25am ET $367.07 25 $9,176.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $369.98 25 $9,249.46 $9,288.96 +$72.71
(+0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $436.88 21 $9,174.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $454.82 21 $9,551.22 $9,665.81 +$376.85
(+4.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $476.93 20 $9,538.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $488.55 20 $9,771.00 $9,898.21 +$232.40
(+2.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,898.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-101.79
Total Return: -1.02%
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