Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 34.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.0

30-Day Momentum

1
-1.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,642.18
Current Value
$15,568.24
Period P&L
$1,926.06
Max Drawdown
-25.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
9 / 7
Best Trade
+15.19%
Worst Trade
-7.32%
Avg Trade Return
+0.97%
Avg Hold Time
6.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$446,310.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,926.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,926.06
Gross Return
+14.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $13,642.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $1,228.15 11 $13,509.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $1,138.24 11 $12,520.64 $12,653.21 $-988.96
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $1,125.47 11 $12,380.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,146.35 11 $12,609.85 $12,882.93 +$229.71
(+1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,003.49 12 $12,041.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $998.94 12 $11,987.28 $12,828.27 $-54.66
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 12 $12,148.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $1,017.81 12 $12,213.72 $12,893.07 +$64.80
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $977.69 13 $12,709.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 2:40pm ET $979.50 13 $12,733.50 $12,916.61 +$23.54
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:35am ET $877.28 14 $12,281.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $876.28 14 $12,267.99 $12,902.68 $-13.93
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $931.08 13 $12,103.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $967.87 13 $12,582.32 $13,381.03 +$478.35
(+4.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $796.56 16 $12,744.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $917.58 16 $14,681.20 $15,317.27 +$1,936.24
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $861.74 17 $14,649.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $893.53 17 $15,190.09 $15,857.78 +$540.51
(+3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
6h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $916.79 17 $15,585.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 2:30pm ET $925.27 17 $15,729.59 $16,001.94 +$144.16
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,000.00 16 $16,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,019.54 16 $16,312.64 $16,314.58 +$312.64
(+2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $987.11 16 $15,793.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:20am ET $959.42 16 $15,350.72 $15,871.54 $-443.04
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
50m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $946.35 16 $15,141.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:50pm ET $924.92 16 $14,798.72 $15,528.66 $-342.88
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $989.50 15 $14,842.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $998.12 15 $14,971.80 $15,658.02 +$129.36
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $976.96 16 $15,631.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $975.68 16 $15,610.88 $15,637.54 $-20.48
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $1,044.75 14 $14,626.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,039.80 14 $14,557.20 $15,568.24 $-69.30
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,568.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,568.24
Total Return: +55.68%
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