Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 20:19:46

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,368.39
Current Value
$9,149.59
Period P&L
$-218.80
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+0.82%
Worst Trade
-2.09%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
3.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,353.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-218.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-218.80
Gross Return
-2.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,368.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:15am ET $74.54 125 $9,317.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $73.97 125 $9,246.25 $9,297.14 $-71.25
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $69.57 133 $9,252.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:50pm ET $69.75 133 $9,276.75 $9,321.74 +$24.60
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $73.26 127 $9,304.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $73.11 127 $9,284.34 $9,302.06 $-19.68
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $75.22 123 $9,252.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:50am ET $73.64 123 $9,058.33 $9,108.33 $-193.73
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:40am ET $76.75 118 $9,056.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $76.95 118 $9,080.10 $9,131.93 +$23.60
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:50am ET $78.90 115 $9,074.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $78.42 115 $9,017.73 $9,075.58 $-56.35
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET $79.91 113 $9,029.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $80.57 113 $9,103.85 $9,149.59 +$74.01
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,149.59
Net Profit/Loss: $-850.41
Total Return: -8.50%
Back to Trent Follower