Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:29:49

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 25.8/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 23.8

30-Day Momentum

2
-7.3%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,892.77
Current Value
$11,862.97
Period P&L
$-29.79
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+7.49%
Worst Trade
-5.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
9.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$269,670.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-29.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-29.79
Gross Return
-0.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $11,892.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $144.09 82 $11,815.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $144.93 82 $11,884.67 $11,962.05 +$69.29
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET $121.11 98 $11,868.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $118.64 98 $11,626.23 $11,719.50 $-242.55
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $123.26 95 $11,709.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:15am ET $126.19 95 $11,988.52 $11,998.32 +$278.82
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET $135.95 88 $11,963.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $146.13 88 $12,859.44 $12,894.16 +$895.84
(+7.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $153.13 84 $12,862.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $152.24 84 $12,788.16 $12,819.40 $-74.76
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $147.07 87 $12,795.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $146.82 87 $12,773.34 $12,797.65 $-21.75
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.95 84 $12,679.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $147.35 84 $12,377.40 $12,495.25 $-302.40
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:10am ET $150.99 82 $12,381.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $154.37 82 $12,658.38 $12,772.45 +$277.20
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $167.75 76 $12,749.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $162.78 76 $12,371.28 $12,394.73 $-377.72
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $163.72 75 $12,279.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET $155.44 75 $11,658.36 $11,774.09 $-620.64
(-5.1%)
TREND_BREAK
35m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $148.68 79 $11,745.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $149.80 79 $11,834.59 $11,862.97 +$88.88
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,862.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,862.97
Total Return: +18.63%
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