Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:56:41

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

24
+3.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.6 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,712.09
Current Value
$8,258.94
Period P&L
$546.83
Max Drawdown
-22.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
9 / 7
Best Trade
+5.78%
Worst Trade
-3.59%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
4.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$259,528.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$546.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$546.83
Gross Return
+7.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,712.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $52.25 147 $7,680.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $54.38 147 $7,993.86 $8,025.21 +$313.11
(+4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 10:05am ET $56.85 141 $8,015.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $57.80 141 $8,149.80 $8,159.32 +$134.11
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $56.38 144 $8,118.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $57.54 144 $8,286.48 $8,327.08 +$167.76
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $57.06 145 $8,273.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $56.35 145 $8,171.47 $8,224.85 $-102.23
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:15am ET $53.88 152 $8,189.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $54.06 152 $8,217.12 $8,252.21 +$27.36
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET $50.14 164 $8,222.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $49.40 164 $8,101.60 $8,130.86 $-121.36
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET $36.37 223 $8,110.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $37.38 223 $8,335.74 $8,356.09 +$225.23
(+2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $38.98 214 $8,341.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $38.30 214 $8,196.20 $8,210.57 $-145.52
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $37.83 217 $8,209.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 1:05pm ET $38.42 217 $8,337.81 $8,339.27 +$128.70
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
22.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 12:00pm ET $39.61 210 $8,317.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 2:05pm ET $39.21 210 $8,234.10 $8,255.80 $-83.47
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $39.88 207 $8,255.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:45am ET $38.45 207 $7,959.15 $7,959.79 $-296.01
(-3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $39.85 199 $7,930.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $40.22 199 $8,003.78 $8,033.42 +$73.63
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $43.19 186 $8,032.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 12:15pm ET $41.72 186 $7,759.92 $7,760.93 $-272.49
(-3.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $44.62 173 $7,719.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $44.99 173 $7,783.27 $7,824.94 +$64.01
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $47.63 164 $7,811.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $50.38 164 $8,263.14 $8,276.76 +$451.82
(+5.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $51.00 162 $8,262.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.89 162 $8,244.18 $8,258.94 $-17.82
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,258.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,741.06
Total Return: -17.41%
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