Compendium › Trent Follower › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 23 trades in period

-8.07%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,926.80
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$9,711.01
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:20:18

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

64
+18.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
3.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.6 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+59 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,711.01
Current Value
$8,926.80
Period P&L
$-784.14
Max Drawdown
-45.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
7 / 16
Best Trade
+12.15%
Worst Trade
-8.43%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
7.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$397,046.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-784.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-784.14
Gross Return
-8.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,711.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $28.36 342 $9,700.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $26.67 342 $9,119.43 $9,129.55 $-581.40
(-6.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
10m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET $28.28 322 $9,107.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:25pm ET $28.22 322 $9,085.23 $9,107.01 $-22.54
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $22.75 400 $9,100.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $23.29 400 $9,316.00 $9,323.01 +$216.00
(+2.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $22.00 423 $9,306.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $21.78 423 $9,212.94 $9,229.95 $-93.06
(-1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $20.42 451 $9,211.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:20am ET $19.82 451 $8,938.82 $8,957.10 $-272.85
(-3.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $20.50 436 $8,937.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $19.94 436 $8,693.88 $8,713.41 $-243.68
(-2.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $19.02 457 $8,694.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $18.58 457 $8,491.06 $8,510.05 $-203.36
(-2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET $20.49 415 $8,501.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $21.22 415 $8,806.30 $8,815.07 +$305.02
(+3.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $24.33 362 $8,807.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $24.07 362 $8,711.53 $8,719.14 $-95.93
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $20.10 433 $8,705.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $22.31 433 $9,660.23 $9,673.90 +$954.76
(+11.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:35am ET $21.26 455 $9,673.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 1:05pm ET $20.73 455 $9,429.88 $9,430.48 $-243.42
(-2.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $22.87 412 $9,422.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:20am ET $22.21 412 $9,150.52 $9,158.56 $-271.92
(-2.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $23.38 391 $9,141.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:45am ET $21.41 391 $8,371.31 $8,388.29 $-770.27
(-8.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:45am ET $20.87 401 $8,368.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $20.76 401 $8,324.76 $8,344.18 $-44.11
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:05am ET $19.37 430 $8,329.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 1:20pm ET $19.02 430 $8,176.58 $8,191.66 $-152.52
(-1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $21.94 373 $8,183.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:20am ET $20.63 373 $7,694.99 $7,702.99 $-488.67
(-6.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
50m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:30am ET $20.66 372 $7,685.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $20.26 372 $7,536.53 $7,554.00 $-148.99
(-1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:25am ET $21.45 352 $7,548.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $21.03 352 $7,404.32 $7,409.43 $-144.57
(-1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $18.56 399 $7,403.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $20.81 399 $8,303.19 $8,309.17 +$899.74
(+12.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:45am ET $22.31 372 $8,299.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $22.41 372 $8,336.52 $8,346.37 +$37.20
(+0.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET $21.87 381 $8,332.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $21.54 381 $8,208.42 $8,222.43 $-123.94
(-1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:55am ET $20.50 401 $8,220.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $20.55 401 $8,240.55 $8,242.48 +$20.05
(+0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $22.62 364 $8,233.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:40pm ET $24.50 364 $8,918.00 $8,926.80 +$684.32
(+8.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,926.80
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,073.20
Total Return: -10.73%
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