Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.5/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
5.1/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 40.0/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 34.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,766.38
Current Value
$12,728.81
Period P&L
$-1,037.57
Max Drawdown
-5.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+0.45%
Worst Trade
-1.65%
Avg Trade Return
-0.87%
Avg Hold Time
3.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$237,679.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,037.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,037.57
Gross Return
-7.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $13,766.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:20am ET $54.54 252 $13,743.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 1:00pm ET $53.78 252 $13,552.56 $13,575.19 $-191.19
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET $55.88 242 $13,521.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $54.96 242 $13,299.11 $13,352.55 $-222.64
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:45am ET $54.41 245 $13,330.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $54.49 245 $13,351.27 $13,373.37 +$20.82
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $53.81 248 $13,343.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $53.06 248 $13,160.12 $13,189.85 $-183.52
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $52.93 249 $13,179.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $53.17 249 $13,239.33 $13,249.61 +$59.76
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $54.01 245 $13,233.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 2:35pm ET $53.92 245 $13,209.18 $13,225.11 $-24.50
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $57.98 228 $13,219.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 12:55pm ET $57.08 228 $13,015.38 $13,021.05 $-204.06
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:20am ET $62.29 209 $13,018.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $61.33 209 $12,817.97 $12,820.83 $-200.22
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:10am ET $59.67 214 $12,768.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $59.24 214 $12,676.29 $12,728.81 $-92.02
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,728.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,728.81
Total Return: +27.29%
Back to Trent Follower