Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:30:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.7/35
Total Return
19.1/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 54.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 53.9

30-Day Momentum

14
+0.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.0 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-40 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$28,579.90
Current Value
$29,761.36
Period P&L
$1,181.47
Max Drawdown
-28.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
7 / 11
Best Trade
+15.91%
Worst Trade
-5.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
4.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$980,830.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,181.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,181.47
Gross Return
+4.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $28,579.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $33.52 852 $28,559.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $31.63 852 $26,952.68 $26,973.53 $-1,606.36
(-5.6%)
TREND_BREAK
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:00am ET $29.14 925 $26,954.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $28.03 925 $25,927.75 $25,946.78 $-1,026.75
(-3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:00am ET $27.23 953 $25,945.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET $26.44 953 $25,199.23 $25,200.58 $-746.20
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $25.06 1,005 $25,180.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $24.52 1,005 $24,638.38 $24,658.68 $-541.90
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 11:45am ET $25.23 977 $24,644.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $25.19 977 $24,615.51 $24,629.37 $-29.31
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $32.27 763 $24,622.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $31.44 763 $23,989.10 $23,996.46 $-632.91
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $27.76 864 $23,984.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $27.75 864 $23,977.81 $23,989.63 $-6.83
(-0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $29.61 810 $23,984.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $31.27 810 $25,328.70 $25,334.23 +$1,344.60
(+5.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $31.95 792 $25,304.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $32.08 792 $25,411.32 $25,441.15 +$106.92
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $34.70 733 $25,435.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:10am ET $40.22 733 $29,481.26 $29,487.31 +$4,046.16
(+15.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $36.90 799 $29,483.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:35pm ET $38.08 799 $30,421.93 $30,426.13 +$938.82
(+3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:50am ET $39.19 776 $30,407.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET $37.84 776 $29,363.84 $29,382.41 $-1,043.72
(-3.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET $37.73 778 $29,353.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $36.25 778 $28,202.19 $28,230.66 $-1,151.75
(-3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
10m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:00am ET $39.09 722 $28,222.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:30pm ET $40.15 722 $28,984.69 $28,992.37 +$761.71
(+2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:25am ET $39.86 727 $28,978.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $38.96 727 $28,323.85 $28,338.00 $-654.37
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $38.05 744 $28,309.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $40.38 744 $30,046.44 $30,075.24 +$1,737.24
(+6.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $40.54 741 $30,040.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $41.06 741 $30,421.76 $30,456.85 +$381.61
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $42.42 717 $30,415.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:10am ET $41.45 717 $29,719.65 $29,761.36 $-695.49
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $29,761.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$19,761.36
Total Return: +197.61%
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