Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:30

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 5.6

30-Day Momentum

27
+4.7%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.6 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,361.46
Current Value
$8,516.86
Period P&L
$-2,844.59
Max Drawdown
-58.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+15.67%
Worst Trade
-11.26%
Avg Trade Return
-0.97%
Avg Hold Time
6.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$485,027.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,844.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,844.59
Gross Return
-25.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $11,361.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $265.35 42 $11,144.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $244.46 42 $10,267.53 $10,484.50 $-876.96
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:25am ET $221.35 47 $10,403.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $232.35 47 $10,920.45 $11,001.60 +$517.10
(+5.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $196.00 56 $10,976.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $200.60 56 $11,233.32 $11,258.92 +$257.32
(+2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $169.32 66 $11,175.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $162.65 66 $10,734.90 $10,818.69 $-440.23
(-3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $198.08 54 $10,696.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $200.00 54 $10,800.00 $10,922.37 +$103.68
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $179.65 60 $10,778.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $179.46 60 $10,767.30 $10,910.72 $-11.65
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $164.49 66 $10,856.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $151.24 66 $9,981.85 $10,036.55 $-874.16
(-8.1%)
TREND_BREAK
17.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:55am ET $139.14 72 $10,018.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $136.83 72 $9,851.77 $9,870.24 $-166.31
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $152.77 64 $9,777.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $157.78 64 $10,097.92 $10,190.88 +$320.64
(+3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $125.08 81 $10,131.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $111.00 81 $8,991.01 $9,050.41 $-1,140.47
(-11.3%)
TREND_BREAK
18.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $100.78 89 $8,969.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $98.55 89 $8,770.95 $8,852.15 $-198.26
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $128.75 68 $8,755.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $119.70 68 $8,139.60 $8,236.75 $-615.40
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $115.54 71 $8,203.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $133.65 71 $9,489.15 $9,522.20 +$1,285.45
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:10am ET $139.75 68 $9,503.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $135.36 68 $9,204.48 $9,223.68 $-298.52
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $147.01 62 $9,114.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 2:55pm ET $145.35 62 $9,011.41 $9,120.24 $-103.44
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $151.69 60 $9,101.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $153.71 60 $9,222.60 $9,241.36 +$121.12
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $131.39 70 $9,197.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $124.70 70 $8,729.04 $8,773.10 $-468.26
(-5.1%)
TREND_BREAK
10m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $125.90 69 $8,687.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:05am ET $121.19 69 $8,362.45 $8,448.45 $-324.65
(-3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
35m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $119.81 70 $8,386.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:00pm ET $115.08 70 $8,055.60 $8,117.32 $-331.13
(-3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $123.49 65 $8,026.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $121.42 65 $7,892.30 $7,983.09 $-134.23
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $111.18 71 $7,893.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $115.71 71 $8,215.76 $8,305.07 +$321.98
(+4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET $121.49 68 $8,261.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $123.29 68 $8,383.73 $8,427.48 +$122.41
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $107.43 78 $8,379.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $107.49 78 $8,384.22 $8,432.16 +$4.68
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $118.69 71 $8,427.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $116.78 71 $8,291.38 $8,296.54 $-135.62
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $139.71 59 $8,243.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $149.02 59 $8,792.18 $8,845.54 +$549.00
(+6.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $147.15 60 $8,829.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $141.68 60 $8,500.62 $8,516.86 $-328.68
(-3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,516.86
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,483.14
Total Return: -14.83%
Back to Trent Follower