Compendium › Trent Follower › SPXU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPXU
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 3 trades in period

-5.76%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,979.35
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$6,344.61
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:48:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.9/10
Raw Quality 1.9/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 1.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,344.61
Current Value
$5,979.35
Period P&L
$-365.26
Max Drawdown
-32.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.86

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+0.85%
Worst Trade
-4.69%
Avg Trade Return
-1.94%
Avg Hold Time
9.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$37,183.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-365.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-365.26
Gross Return
-5.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $6,344.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $38.09 166 $6,322.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $37.34 166 $6,198.44 $6,220.11 $-124.50
(-2.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET $38.24 162 $6,195.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $38.56 162 $6,247.53 $6,272.57 +$52.46
(+0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $37.02 169 $6,256.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $35.28 169 $5,963.16 $5,979.35 $-293.22
(-4.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,979.35
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,020.65
Total Return: -40.21%
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