Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:53:45

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

1
-11.7%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,494.33
Current Value
$6,531.37
Period P&L
$-1,962.98
Max Drawdown
-19.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.55

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
4 / 12
Best Trade
+3.46%
Worst Trade
-8.75%
Avg Trade Return
-1.59%
Avg Hold Time
8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$237,706.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,962.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,962.98
Gross Return
-23.11%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,494.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $41.44 204 $8,453.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $37.81 204 $7,714.26 $7,754.85 $-739.50
(-8.7%)
TREND_BREAK
18.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $41.59 186 $7,735.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:35am ET $39.89 186 $7,419.52 $7,438.63 $-316.22
(-4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $37.73 197 $7,432.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $37.40 197 $7,367.80 $7,373.60 $-65.03
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $39.70 185 $7,344.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $39.82 185 $7,366.70 $7,395.80 +$22.20
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $39.25 188 $7,379.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $39.03 188 $7,336.70 $7,353.50 $-42.30
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET $40.66 180 $7,318.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 11:55am ET $42.06 180 $7,571.70 $7,606.40 +$252.90
(+3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $42.62 178 $7,586.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $43.28 178 $7,703.84 $7,723.88 +$117.48
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
6.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $45.90 168 $7,711.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $45.67 168 $7,672.54 $7,685.24 $-38.64
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET $47.88 160 $7,661.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $47.83 160 $7,653.60 $7,677.24 $-8.00
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $39.29 195 $7,661.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 11:10am ET $38.00 195 $7,410.00 $7,425.67 $-251.57
(-3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $37.88 196 $7,424.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $38.19 196 $7,484.26 $7,485.45 +$59.78
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $40.28 185 $7,450.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:15pm ET $39.80 185 $7,362.98 $7,397.56 $-87.89
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $40.08 184 $7,374.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET $39.26 184 $7,222.92 $7,245.76 $-151.80
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $40.04 180 $7,207.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $39.51 180 $7,112.70 $7,151.26 $-94.50
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $40.74 175 $7,129.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $39.67 175 $6,942.25 $6,964.01 $-187.25
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $41.20 169 $6,962.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $38.64 169 $6,530.16 $6,531.37 $-432.64
(-6.2%)
TREND_BREAK
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,531.37
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,468.63
Total Return: -34.69%
Back to Trent Follower