Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:53:48

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.8/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 26.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 26.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,266.74
Current Value
$12,351.57
Period P&L
$84.80
Max Drawdown
-29.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+7.00%
Worst Trade
-8.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
10.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$231,025.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$84.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$84.80
Gross Return
+0.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $12,266.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $78.02 157 $12,249.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $71.75 157 $11,263.97 $11,281.60 $-985.17
(-8.0%)
TREND_BREAK
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:55am ET $79.72 141 $11,240.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $80.96 141 $11,415.36 $11,456.44 +$174.84
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $75.15 152 $11,422.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $76.68 152 $11,655.45 $11,689.09 +$232.65
(+2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $74.74 156 $11,659.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $76.14 156 $11,877.86 $11,907.51 +$218.42
(+1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 2:40pm ET $61.90 192 $11,884.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $59.53 192 $11,430.72 $11,453.43 $-454.08
(-3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.56 174 $11,407.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $62.60 174 $10,892.40 $10,938.39 $-515.04
(-4.5%)
TREND_BREAK
40m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $70.34 155 $10,903.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:30am ET $74.92 155 $11,611.83 $11,647.20 +$708.81
(+6.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $75.60 154 $11,642.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:15pm ET $74.88 154 $11,530.90 $11,535.70 $-111.50
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $71.16 162 $11,527.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $71.21 162 $11,536.83 $11,544.61 +$8.91
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $74.89 154 $11,533.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $80.13 154 $12,340.02 $12,351.57 +$806.96
(+7.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,351.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,351.57
Total Return: +23.52%
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