Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:20:39

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 2.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.2%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,882.32
Current Value
$8,325.49
Period P&L
$443.18
Max Drawdown
-9.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+5.77%
Worst Trade
-1.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
8.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$164,839.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$443.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$443.18
Gross Return
+5.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,882.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $112.24 70 $7,856.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $112.61 70 $7,882.70 $7,908.22 +$25.90
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $112.04 70 $7,842.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:00am ET $118.51 70 $8,295.70 $8,361.12 +$452.90
(+5.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:50am ET $123.38 67 $8,266.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $123.54 67 $8,277.51 $8,372.18 +$11.06
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET $129.14 64 $8,264.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $128.02 64 $8,193.28 $8,300.50 $-71.68
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $138.35 59 $8,162.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 2:25pm ET $140.20 59 $8,271.81 $8,409.65 +$109.16
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $128.66 65 $8,362.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $128.65 65 $8,362.25 $8,409.00 $-0.65
(-0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $123.26 68 $8,381.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $124.73 68 $8,481.81 $8,509.13 +$100.13
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
23.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $133.89 63 $8,435.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $133.08 63 $8,384.04 $8,458.10 $-51.03
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $148.82 56 $8,333.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $148.37 56 $8,308.44 $8,432.61 $-25.49
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $159.44 52 $8,290.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:10pm ET $157.38 52 $8,183.76 $8,325.49 $-107.12
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,325.49
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,674.51
Total Return: -16.75%
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