Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 02:43:27

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.0/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 36.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.4

30-Day Momentum

3
-5.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$26,815.50
Current Value
$24,367.62
Period P&L
$-2,447.89
Max Drawdown
-44.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+8.50%
Worst Trade
-4.49%
Avg Trade Return
-0.68%
Avg Hold Time
12.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$713,757.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,447.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,447.89
Gross Return
-9.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $26,815.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $52.00 515 $26,780.00
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET $56.42 515 $29,056.35 $29,091.86 +$2,276.35
(+8.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:25pm ET $61.23 475 $29,084.25
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $60.33 475 $28,656.75 $28,664.36 $-427.50
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $51.77 553 $28,628.81
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $51.05 553 $28,230.65 $28,266.20 $-398.16
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
20.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $50.65 558 $28,262.70
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $51.38 558 $28,668.92 $28,672.42 +$406.22
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $38.95 736 $28,667.20
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $38.97 736 $28,681.19 $28,686.40 +$13.98
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $40.75 703 $28,647.25
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $39.61 703 $27,845.83 $27,884.98 $-801.42
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
50m held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $37.68 740 $27,883.20
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $37.51 740 $27,757.40 $27,759.18 $-125.80
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $37.10 748 $27,754.54
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 11:30am ET $35.68 748 $26,688.57 $26,693.21 $-1,065.97
(-3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET $29.18 914 $26,670.52
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $29.52 914 $26,985.85 $27,008.54 +$315.33
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $30.84 875 $26,985.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $30.90 875 $27,037.50 $27,061.04 +$52.50
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $33.81 800 $27,048.00
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:20pm ET $33.05 800 $26,440.00 $26,453.04 $-608.00
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $27.39 965 $26,431.35
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $26.16 965 $25,244.40 $25,266.09 $-1,186.95
(-4.5%)
TREND_BREAK
18.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $28.25 894 $25,259.97
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $27.25 894 $24,361.50 $24,367.62 $-898.47
(-3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,367.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,367.62
Total Return: +143.68%
Back to Trent Follower