Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:06

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.4/10
Raw Quality 3.4/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,489.68
Current Value
$7,854.40
Period P&L
$-635.31
Max Drawdown
-29.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.90

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+1.33%
Worst Trade
-2.98%
Avg Trade Return
-1.28%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$97,099.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-635.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-635.31
Gross Return
-7.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,489.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $24.20 350 $8,470.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:25am ET $23.48 350 $8,218.00 $8,237.71 $-252.00
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:40am ET $22.40 367 $8,220.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $22.17 367 $8,136.39 $8,153.30 $-84.41
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $22.69 359 $8,147.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $22.18 359 $7,962.62 $7,968.42 $-184.88
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $22.54 353 $7,956.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $22.84 353 $8,062.52 $8,074.31 +$105.90
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET $22.76 354 $8,057.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $22.64 354 $8,013.46 $8,030.74 $-43.58
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $18.64 430 $8,015.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:45am ET $18.23 430 $7,838.86 $7,854.40 $-176.34
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,854.40
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,145.60
Total Return: -21.46%
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