Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:00

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
4.2/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 12.4/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,415.32
Current Value
$10,218.16
Period P&L
$802.83
Max Drawdown
-9.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
11 / 5
Best Trade
+3.73%
Worst Trade
-3.52%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
8.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$327,491.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$802.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$802.83
Gross Return
+8.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,415.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $184.95 50 $9,247.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:05am ET $190.29 50 $9,514.50 $9,682.32 +$267.00
(+2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $164.99 58 $9,569.42 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $164.30 58 $9,529.40 $9,642.30 $-40.02
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
3 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:00am ET $172.97 55 $9,513.35 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:55am ET $179.41 55 $9,867.82 $9,996.77 +$354.47
(+3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:05am ET $193.30 51 $9,858.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $196.25 51 $10,008.75 $10,147.22 +$150.45
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $124.79 81 $10,107.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $126.10 81 $10,214.10 $10,253.33 +$106.11
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 10:20am ET $129.10 79 $10,198.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $131.54 79 $10,391.67 $10,446.49 +$193.16
(+1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $141.78 73 $10,349.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $142.63 73 $10,412.35 $10,508.90 +$62.41
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $143.27 73 $10,458.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:05am ET $143.27 73 $10,458.71 $10,508.90 $0.00
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
21.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $142.99 73 $10,437.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $145.29 73 $10,606.17 $10,677.16 +$168.26
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $160.76 66 $10,610.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $165.38 66 $10,915.08 $10,982.12 +$304.95
(+2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $170.43 64 $10,907.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:45am ET $166.13 64 $10,632.00 $10,706.28 $-275.84
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:05am ET $184.74 57 $10,530.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:05am ET $180.00 57 $10,260.01 $10,436.11 $-270.17
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:15am ET $182.15 57 $10,382.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 1:35pm ET $183.68 57 $10,469.76 $10,523.32 +$87.21
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:00am ET $189.66 55 $10,431.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $188.47 55 $10,365.85 $10,457.87 $-65.45
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $191.32 54 $10,331.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET $193.66 54 $10,457.91 $10,584.23 +$126.36
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $192.76 54 $10,409.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:40pm ET $185.99 54 $10,043.19 $10,218.16 $-366.07
(-3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,218.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$218.16
Total Return: +2.18%
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