Compendium › Trent Follower › AVAXUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVAXUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 29 trades in period

-17.41%
Last 6 Months Return
$4,950.52
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$4,808.98
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:30

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
25.3 oversold
20d Trend
-38.3%
5d Trend
-38.9%
EMA20 Dist
-40.8%
ATR%
15.6%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

36
+9.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.8 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,046
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,808.98
Current Value
$4,950.52
Period P&L
$-837.18
Max Drawdown
-51.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
9 / 20
Best Trade
+9.86%
Worst Trade
-7.46%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
3.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$290,316.18
Estimated Fees
$725.79
Gross P&L
$-837.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,562.97
Gross Return
-17.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-32.50%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $4,808.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20am ET $9.26 547 $5,061.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 4:55am ET $9.24 547 $5,050.96 $5,050.96 $-36.21
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 5, 2026 8:25pm ET $9.23 547 $5,050.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:00am ET $9.45 547 $5,171.35 $5,171.35 +$94.84
(+2.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 5:50pm ET $9.12 567 $5,171.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:10am ET $9.45 567 $5,358.47 $5,358.47 +$160.80
(+3.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
7.3h held
4 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 5:00pm ET $9.54 562 $5,358.47 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 6:40pm ET $9.37 562 $5,262.98 $5,262.98 $-122.04
(-1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $6.86 767 $5,262.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:10pm ET $6.71 767 $5,145.63 $5,145.63 $-143.37
(-2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 5:40pm ET $6.66 772 $5,145.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 9:05pm ET $6.71 772 $5,182.70 $5,182.70 +$11.25
(+0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2026 3:30am ET $6.21 835 $5,182.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2026 7:15am ET $6.14 835 $5,127.61 $5,127.61 $-80.87
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 4:45pm ET $6.33 810 $5,127.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 8:50pm ET $6.40 810 $5,182.72 $5,182.72 +$29.33
(+1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $6.43 806 $5,182.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:55pm ET $6.39 806 $5,147.28 $5,147.28 $-61.27
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $6.79 759 $5,147.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 4:15pm ET $6.71 759 $5,090.39 $5,090.39 $-82.48
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:40am ET $6.71 758 $5,090.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 5:40am ET $6.71 758 $5,085.08 $5,085.08 $-30.75
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2026 9:50am ET $6.49 784 $5,085.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2026 7:40pm ET $6.74 784 $5,282.56 $5,282.56 +$171.56
(+3.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
9.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2026 1:00am ET $6.49 813 $5,282.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2026 4:40am ET $6.55 813 $5,331.37 $5,331.37 +$22.27
(+0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:40pm ET $6.89 774 $5,331.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 1:40am ET $6.84 774 $5,297.31 $5,297.31 $-60.63
(-0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
4h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:55pm ET $6.80 779 $5,297.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2026 1:40am ET $6.67 779 $5,199.14 $5,199.14 $-124.41
(-1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:30am ET $6.65 782 $5,199.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 2:10pm ET $6.51 782 $5,085.78 $5,085.78 $-139.08
(-2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 5:05pm ET $6.79 749 $5,085.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 8:15pm ET $6.75 749 $5,049.85 $5,049.85 $-61.27
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:20am ET $7.12 709 $5,049.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $7.16 709 $5,076.81 $5,076.81 +$1.64
(+0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 4:55am ET $7.67 662 $5,076.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 5:15am ET $7.42 662 $4,917.19 $4,917.19 $-184.61
(-3.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
20m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 6:40pm ET $7.87 624 $4,917.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 8:45pm ET $7.79 624 $4,865.36 $4,865.36 $-76.29
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 12:50am ET $8.27 588 $4,865.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $7.66 588 $4,502.50 $4,502.50 $-386.28
(-7.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
20m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $7.72 584 $4,502.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $7.54 584 $4,397.45 $4,397.45 $-127.30
(-2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
2h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:45pm ET $7.93 555 $4,397.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:15am ET $7.89 555 $4,374.71 $4,374.71 $-44.67
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45pm ET $8.52 513 $4,374.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 12:25am ET $8.47 513 $4,345.46 $4,345.46 $-51.05
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 5:05am ET $8.88 490 $4,345.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $9.68 490 $4,736.59 $4,736.59 +$368.42
(+9.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
10.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 7:35pm ET $10.03 472 $4,736.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 9:10pm ET $9.93 472 $4,693.12 $4,693.12 $-67.04
(-0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 7:45am ET $10.05 467 $4,693.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $11.04 467 $5,155.80 $5,155.80 +$438.06
(+9.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 8:15pm ET $11.64 443 $5,155.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 9:40pm ET $11.37 443 $5,035.72 $5,035.72 $-145.56
(-2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 7:10am ET $11.53 437 $5,035.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:15am ET $11.33 437 $4,950.52 $4,950.52 $-110.17
(-1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,950.52
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,049.48
Total Return: -50.49%
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