COIN Trent Follower's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 35 trades in period
+17.17%
Last 6 Months Return
$16,860.01
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$14,389.05
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.6/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
28.7/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 28.3
30-Day Momentum
63
+17.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
3.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.2
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,389.05
Current Value
$16,860.01
Period P&L
$2,471.00
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
15 /
20
Best Trade
+15.02%
Worst Trade
-3.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.52%
Avg Hold Time
8.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,002,872.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,471.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,471.00
Gross Return
+17.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.17%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $14,389.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $189.54 | 75 | $14,215.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:40am ET | $184.40 | 75 | $13,830.00 | $14,003.50 |
$-385.51 (-2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $167.38 | 83 | $13,892.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $172.80 | 83 | $14,342.81 | $14,453.36 |
+$449.86 (+3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $177.05 | 81 | $14,341.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $174.71 | 81 | $14,151.91 | $14,264.22 |
$-189.14 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.94 | 77 | $14,240.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $178.42 | 77 | $13,738.34 | $13,762.18 |
$-502.04 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $172.95 | 79 | $13,663.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $171.76 | 79 | $13,569.04 | $13,668.17 |
$-94.01 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $190.62 | 71 | $13,534.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $188.85 | 71 | $13,408.00 | $13,542.15 |
$-126.02 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.16 | 66 | $13,540.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $209.50 | 66 | $13,827.00 | $13,828.59 |
+$286.44 (+2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $207.08 | 66 | $13,667.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $205.11 | 66 | $13,537.26 | $13,698.57 |
$-130.02 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $187.36 | 73 | $13,677.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $185.33 | 73 | $13,529.09 | $13,550.38 |
$-148.19 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.40 | 67 | $13,360.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $204.11 | 67 | $13,675.37 | $13,865.62 |
+$315.24 (+2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $201.59 | 68 | $13,708.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.90 | 68 | $14,409.20 | $14,566.70 |
+$701.08 (+5.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $208.15 | 69 | $14,362.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $216.64 | 69 | $14,947.89 | $15,151.90 |
+$585.20 (+4.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $188.29 | 80 | $15,063.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $188.64 | 80 | $15,091.20 | $15,179.90 |
+$28.00 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.72 | 97 | $15,104.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $162.16 | 97 | $15,729.52 | $15,804.58 |
+$624.68 (+4.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $160.27 | 98 | $15,706.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $156.96 | 98 | $15,382.08 | $15,480.19 |
$-324.39 (-2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $164.85 | 93 | $15,331.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $159.29 | 93 | $14,813.97 | $14,963.11 |
$-517.08 (-3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
55m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $173.63 | 86 | $14,932.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 1:35pm ET | $171.61 | 86 | $14,758.46 | $14,789.39 |
$-173.72 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $169.25 | 87 | $14,724.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $165.27 | 87 | $14,378.49 | $14,443.13 |
$-346.26 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $149.08 | 96 | $14,311.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:25pm ET | $147.28 | 96 | $14,138.88 | $14,270.33 |
$-172.80 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $151.20 | 94 | $14,212.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:40pm ET | $161.64 | 94 | $15,194.16 | $15,251.69 |
+$981.36 (+6.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.41 | 91 | $15,143.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $160.09 | 91 | $14,568.19 | $14,676.12 |
$-575.57 (-3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.03 | 88 | $14,610.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $160.97 | 88 | $14,165.36 | $14,230.84 |
$-445.28 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
20m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.90 | 81 | $14,085.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $178.72 | 81 | $14,476.32 | $14,621.26 |
+$390.42 (+2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.34 | 88 | $14,461.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.61 | 88 | $14,221.68 | $14,381.02 |
$-240.24 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 1:35pm ET | $147.64 | 97 | $14,321.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.02 | 97 | $13,969.70 | $14,029.45 |
$-351.57 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 10:25am ET | $152.33 | 92 | $14,014.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $151.01 | 92 | $13,892.46 | $13,907.55 |
$-121.90 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $154.22 | 90 | $13,879.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $149.06 | 90 | $13,415.40 | $13,443.15 |
$-464.40 (-3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $153.22 | 87 | $13,330.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 1:40pm ET | $159.82 | 87 | $13,904.34 | $14,017.35 |
+$574.20 (+4.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.00 | 77 | $14,014.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $186.74 | 77 | $14,379.36 | $14,382.71 |
+$365.36 (+2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $187.41 | 76 | $14,243.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $191.21 | 76 | $14,531.96 | $14,671.51 |
+$288.80 (+2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:10pm ET | $186.62 | 78 | $14,556.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.00 | 78 | $14,118.00 | $14,233.15 |
$-438.36 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.08 | 76 | $14,066.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 2:20pm ET | $192.10 | 76 | $14,599.81 | $14,766.88 |
+$533.73 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $179.13 | 82 | $14,688.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 12:15pm ET | $177.31 | 82 | $14,539.42 | $14,617.98 |
$-148.90 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $188.84 | 77 | $14,540.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 2:55pm ET | $189.37 | 77 | $14,581.11 | $14,658.41 |
+$40.43 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $170.40 | 86 | $14,654.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $196.00 | 86 | $16,856.00 | $16,860.01 |
+$2,201.60 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,860.01
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,860.01
Total Return:
+68.60%