Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.3/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
7.4/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 43.5/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 40.4

30-Day Momentum

67
+17.0%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
6
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.1 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+27 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,705.86
Current Value
$15,544.80
Period P&L
$5,838.92
Max Drawdown
-18.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.61

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
17 / 6
Best Trade
+10.57%
Worst Trade
-1.96%
Avg Trade Return
+2.18%
Avg Hold Time
17.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$540,110.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,838.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,838.92
Gross Return
+60.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+60.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,705.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $382.60 25 $9,565.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $385.16 25 $9,629.00 $9,769.88 +$64.00
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $417.68 23 $9,606.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $428.83 23 $9,863.09 $10,026.33 +$256.45
(+2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
21.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $390.20 25 $9,754.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $400.12 25 $10,003.00 $10,274.45 +$248.12
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $422.51 24 $10,140.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $416.98 24 $10,007.52 $10,141.83 $-132.62
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $446.24 22 $9,817.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $450.58 22 $9,912.76 $10,237.31 +$95.48
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
6 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $488.00 20 $9,760.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $495.74 20 $9,914.80 $10,392.11 +$154.80
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
7 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $668.10 15 $10,021.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $667.11 15 $10,006.65 $10,377.26 $-14.85
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
8 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $694.87 14 $9,728.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $764.85 14 $10,707.90 $11,356.98 +$979.72
(+10.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:10am ET $661.01 17 $11,237.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET $649.06 17 $11,034.02 $11,153.83 $-203.15
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:50am ET $682.25 16 $10,916.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $687.00 16 $10,992.00 $11,229.83 +$76.00
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
21.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET $700.70 16 $11,211.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:45am ET $686.95 16 $10,991.12 $11,009.75 $-220.08
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.28 61 $10,997.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $186.59 61 $11,381.99 $11,394.66 +$384.91
(+3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $203.32 56 $11,385.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $201.80 56 $11,301.08 $11,309.82 $-84.84
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:50am ET $195.71 57 $11,155.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $196.43 57 $11,196.51 $11,350.86 +$41.04
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
23.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $194.65 58 $11,289.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET $207.98 58 $12,062.55 $12,123.71 +$772.85
(+6.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $189.72 63 $11,952.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $209.77 63 $13,215.51 $13,386.86 +$1,263.15
(+10.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $213.82 62 $13,257.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 1:45pm ET $212.21 62 $13,157.02 $13,286.73 $-100.13
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $208.00 63 $13,104.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $218.86 63 $13,788.43 $13,971.16 +$684.43
(+5.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $226.37 61 $13,808.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:50pm ET $227.03 61 $13,848.83 $14,011.72 +$40.56
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:15am ET $210.24 66 $13,875.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:40pm ET $212.96 66 $14,055.36 $14,191.24 +$179.52
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $219.01 64 $14,016.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $237.15 64 $15,177.92 $15,352.52 +$1,161.28
(+8.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:55am ET $246.27 62 $15,268.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $247.24 62 $15,328.57 $15,412.35 +$59.83
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
23.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:00am ET $258.76 59 $15,266.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $261.01 59 $15,399.30 $15,544.80 +$132.45
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,544.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,544.80
Total Return: +55.45%
Back to Trent Follower