Compendium › Trent Follower › DKNG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DKNG
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 19 trades in period

+4.50%
Last 6 Months Return
$6,336.02
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$6,063.09
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:11:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-3.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,063.09
Current Value
$6,336.02
Period P&L
$272.89
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+9.90%
Worst Trade
-2.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$239,838.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$272.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$272.89
Gross Return
+4.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $6,063.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $22.32 271 $6,048.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $22.30 271 $6,041.95 $6,056.36 $-6.77
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $23.72 255 $6,047.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $23.66 255 $6,033.30 $6,042.33 $-14.03
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
3 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $26.44 228 $6,028.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $25.93 228 $5,913.18 $5,927.19 $-115.14
(-1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
4 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:00am ET $25.14 235 $5,906.73 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $24.91 235 $5,852.68 $5,873.14 $-54.05
(-0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $25.69 228 $5,858.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.50 228 $6,040.86 $6,055.54 +$182.40
(+3.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $25.76 235 $6,053.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $25.34 235 $5,954.90 $5,956.84 $-98.70
(-1.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $26.41 225 $5,941.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $29.02 225 $6,529.50 $6,545.21 +$588.37
(+9.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $24.41 268 $6,541.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:35pm ET $24.44 268 $6,549.92 $6,553.25 +$8.04
(+0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET $25.83 253 $6,533.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $25.85 253 $6,541.31 $6,560.84 +$7.59
(+0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $26.96 243 $6,551.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:55am ET $26.34 243 $6,401.83 $6,411.40 $-149.44
(-2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $27.49 233 $6,404.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:00pm ET $26.92 233 $6,272.36 $6,279.50 $-131.90
(-2.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:10am ET $23.90 262 $6,261.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $24.30 262 $6,366.60 $6,384.30 +$104.80
(+1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $22.35 285 $6,369.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $23.19 285 $6,609.15 $6,623.70 +$239.40
(+3.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:40am ET $25.48 260 $6,623.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $25.06 260 $6,515.60 $6,515.80 $-107.90
(-1.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $26.04 250 $6,510.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $26.13 250 $6,531.25 $6,537.05 +$21.25
(+0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $25.69 254 $6,525.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $25.77 254 $6,546.85 $6,558.64 +$21.59
(+0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $25.20 260 $6,551.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $25.27 260 $6,571.50 $6,578.40 +$19.76
(+0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $24.75 265 $6,558.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $24.38 265 $6,460.70 $6,480.35 $-98.05
(-1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $22.85 283 $6,466.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET $22.34 283 $6,322.22 $6,336.02 $-144.33
(-2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,336.02
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,663.98
Total Return: -36.64%
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