Compendium › Trent Follower › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 16 trades in period

-21.38%
Last 6 Months Return
$1,585.37
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$1,704.16
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:33

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.6/10
Raw Quality 1.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 1.6

30-Day Momentum

6
-3.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,044
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$1,704.16
Current Value
$1,585.37
Period P&L
$-364.31
Max Drawdown
-84.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
5 / 11
Best Trade
+3.61%
Worst Trade
-5.32%
Avg Trade Return
-0.81%
Avg Hold Time
3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$54,661.78
Estimated Fees
$136.65
Gross P&L
$-364.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-500.96
Gross Return
-21.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-29.40%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $1,704.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:00am ET $0.0977 18,562 $1,813.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $0.0955 18,562 $1,773.21 $1,773.21 $-48.80
(-2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 4:20am ET $0.1058 16,766 $1,773.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 8:05am ET $0.1077 16,766 $1,805.84 $1,805.84 +$23.68
(+1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 8:40pm ET $0.1069 16,898 $1,805.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:35pm ET $0.1055 16,898 $1,783.15 $1,783.15 $-31.66
(-1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY May 3, 2026 10:00pm ET $0.1126 15,840 $1,783.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:25am ET $0.1125 15,840 $1,782.11 $1,782.11 $-9.95
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:35am ET $0.0906 19,671 $1,782.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $0.0879 19,671 $1,728.22 $1,728.22 $-62.67
(-3.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:30am ET $0.0734 23,557 $1,728.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 3:15pm ET $0.0725 23,557 $1,708.72 $1,708.72 $-28.09
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 5:10pm ET $0.0756 22,600 $1,708.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:10pm ET $0.0749 22,600 $1,692.40 $1,692.40 $-24.82
(-1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
4h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $0.0811 20,861 $1,692.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $0.0806 20,861 $1,682.16 $1,682.16 $-18.68
(-0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 5:10pm ET $0.0879 19,137 $1,682.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 8:40pm ET $0.0911 19,137 $1,742.85 $1,742.85 +$52.13
(+3.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:20pm ET $0.0955 18,245 $1,742.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $0.0904 18,245 $1,650.16 $1,650.16 $-101.17
(-5.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:45am ET $0.0866 19,062 $1,650.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $0.0891 19,062 $1,698.43 $1,698.43 +$39.90
(+2.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $0.0923 18,393 $1,698.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2026 4:35pm ET $0.0905 18,393 $1,664.98 $1,664.98 $-41.86
(-2.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $0.0869 19,169 $1,664.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $0.0846 19,169 $1,622.61 $1,622.61 $-50.58
(-2.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
2h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 4:45am ET $0.0919 17,648 $1,622.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET $0.0930 17,648 $1,640.44 $1,640.44 +$9.67
(+1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:05am ET $0.0968 16,947 $1,640.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $0.0977 16,947 $1,656.39 $1,656.39 +$7.71
(+1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:05am ET $0.1047 15,824 $1,656.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:55am ET $0.1002 15,824 $1,585.37 $1,585.37 $-79.12
(-4.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,585.37
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,414.63
Total Return: -84.15%
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