DOGEUSD Trent Follower's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 36 trades in period
-15.95%
Last 6 Months Return
$1,782.11
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$1,948.27
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.7/10
Raw Quality
1.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 1.7
30-Day Momentum
1
-1.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,300
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
182 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$1,948.27
Current Value
$1,782.11
Period P&L
$-310.84
Max Drawdown
-84.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
11 /
25
Best Trade
+7.23%
Worst Trade
-3.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$138,947.17
Estimated Fees
$347.37
Gross P&L
$-310.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-658.21
Gross Return
-15.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-33.78%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 182 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $1,948.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:25am ET | $0.1680 | 11,600 | $1,948.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 5:00pm ET | $0.1801 | 11,600 | $2,089.19 | $2,079.10 |
+$130.73 (+7.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 4:45pm ET | $0.1540 | 13,504 | $2,079.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:20am ET | $0.1574 | 13,504 | $2,125.68 | $2,115.17 |
+$36.08 (+2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
8.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:30pm ET | $0.1510 | 14,011 | $2,115.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 4:35pm ET | $0.1522 | 14,011 | $2,132.97 | $2,122.35 |
+$7.17 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $0.1429 | 14,852 | $2,122.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 2:25pm ET | $0.1458 | 14,852 | $2,165.53 | $2,154.81 |
+$32.46 (+2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 7, 2025 1:20pm ET | $0.1428 | 15,090 | $2,154.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 7, 2025 4:15pm ET | $0.1417 | 15,090 | $2,138.21 | $2,127.48 |
$-27.33 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:50am ET | $0.1464 | 14,533 | $2,127.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:00pm ET | $0.1508 | 14,533 | $2,191.71 | $2,180.91 |
+$53.44 (+3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 9:55am ET | $0.1345 | 16,220 | $2,180.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $0.1301 | 16,220 | $2,110.98 | $2,100.25 |
$-80.66 (-3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
54m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 11:10pm ET | $0.1265 | 16,599 | $2,100.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 6:05am ET | $0.1280 | 16,599 | $2,124.32 | $2,113.76 |
+$13.51 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $0.1245 | 16,974 | $2,113.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 1, 2026 7:15pm ET | $0.1261 | 16,974 | $2,140.73 | $2,130.10 |
+$16.34 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
8.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 4:45am ET | $0.1345 | 15,841 | $2,130.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 6:40am ET | $0.1300 | 15,841 | $2,058.81 | $2,048.34 |
$-81.76 (-3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $0.1359 | 15,070 | $2,048.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $0.1390 | 15,070 | $2,094.15 | $2,083.80 |
+$35.46 (+2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 3, 2026 10:45pm ET | $0.1516 | 13,749 | $2,083.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 4, 2026 1:45am ET | $0.1500 | 13,749 | $2,062.76 | $2,052.40 |
$-31.40 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 4:30pm ET | $0.1508 | 13,614 | $2,052.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 7:30pm ET | $0.1494 | 13,614 | $2,034.29 | $2,024.07 |
$-28.32 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:50am ET | $0.1534 | 13,198 | $2,024.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 4:30am ET | $0.1489 | 13,198 | $1,965.15 | $1,955.18 |
$-68.89 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
42m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 5:10pm ET | $0.1484 | 13,173 | $1,955.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 8:25pm ET | $0.1479 | 13,173 | $1,948.33 | $1,938.57 |
$-16.61 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $0.1276 | 15,195 | $1,938.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 6:20pm ET | $0.1269 | 15,195 | $1,928.09 | $1,918.42 |
$-20.15 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $0.1102 | 17,409 | $1,918.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:10pm ET | $0.1084 | 17,409 | $1,886.43 | $1,876.92 |
$-41.50 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $0.1087 | 17,267 | $1,876.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET | $0.1060 | 17,267 | $1,830.47 | $1,821.20 |
$-55.72 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET | $0.0934 | 19,505 | $1,821.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET | $0.0906 | 19,505 | $1,766.20 | $1,757.23 |
$-63.97 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $0.0984 | 17,867 | $1,757.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $0.0986 | 17,867 | $1,762.41 | $1,753.61 |
$-3.62 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $0.1012 | 17,326 | $1,753.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $0.1005 | 17,326 | $1,741.16 | $1,741.16 |
$-21.19 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:15am ET | $0.0980 | 17,762 | $1,741.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 5:40pm ET | $0.1033 | 17,762 | $1,834.23 | $1,834.23 |
+$84.13 (+5.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
8.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 9:00am ET | $0.0919 | 19,968 | $1,834.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $0.0904 | 19,968 | $1,805.36 | $1,805.36 |
$-37.97 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET | $0.0975 | 18,515 | $1,805.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2026 12:15am ET | $0.0961 | 18,515 | $1,779.46 | $1,779.46 |
$-34.86 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $0.0951 | 18,707 | $1,779.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $0.0954 | 18,707 | $1,784.77 | $1,784.77 |
$-3.60 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 4:05am ET | $0.0926 | 19,267 | $1,784.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 7:20am ET | $0.0920 | 19,267 | $1,773.48 | $1,773.48 |
$-20.19 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $0.0960 | 18,474 | $1,773.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 4:10pm ET | $0.1024 | 18,474 | $1,891.76 | $1,891.76 |
+$109.11 (+6.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 5:35am ET | $0.0955 | 19,802 | $1,891.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 8:05am ET | $0.0944 | 19,802 | $1,868.91 | $1,868.91 |
$-32.25 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $0.0988 | 18,918 | $1,868.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $0.0982 | 18,918 | $1,857.70 | $1,857.70 |
$-20.53 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 8:30pm ET | $0.0979 | 18,968 | $1,857.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:35pm ET | $0.0959 | 18,968 | $1,819.05 | $1,819.05 |
$-47.83 (-2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 15, 2026 11:30pm ET | $0.1012 | 17,970 | $1,819.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 4:25am ET | $0.1014 | 17,970 | $1,822.18 | $1,822.18 |
$-5.97 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET | $0.0944 | 19,313 | $1,822.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:20pm ET | $0.0939 | 19,313 | $1,813.05 | $1,813.05 |
$-18.22 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $0.0977 | 18,562 | $1,813.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $0.0955 | 18,562 | $1,773.21 | $1,773.21 |
$-48.80 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 4:20am ET | $0.1058 | 16,766 | $1,773.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 8:05am ET | $0.1077 | 16,766 | $1,805.84 | $1,805.84 |
+$23.68 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 8:40pm ET | $0.1069 | 16,898 | $1,805.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:35pm ET | $0.1055 | 16,898 | $1,783.15 | $1,783.15 |
$-31.66 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 3, 2026 10:00pm ET | $0.1126 | 15,840 | $1,783.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:25am ET | $0.1125 | 15,840 | $1,782.11 | $1,782.11 |
$-9.95 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$1,782.11
Net Profit/Loss:
$-8,217.89
Total Return:
-82.18%